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Register a new userBirth, survival and death of languages by Monte Carlo simulation
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Simulations of physicists for the competition between adult languages since 2003 are reviewed. How many languages are spoken by how many people? How many languages are contained in various language families? How do language similarities decay with geographical distance, and what effects do natural boundaries have? New simulations of bilinguality are given in an appendix.
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In this paper, a baseline model termed as random birth-and-death network model (RBDN) is considered, in which at each time step, a new node is added into the network with probability p (0<p <1) connect it with m old nodes uniformly, or an existing node is deleted from the network with probability q=1-p. This model allows for fluctuations in size, which may reach many different disciplines in physics, ecology and economics. The purpose of this study is to develop the RBDN model and explore its basic statistical properties. For different p, we first discuss the network size of RBDN. And then combining the stochastic process rules (SPR) based Markov chain method and the probability generating function method, we provide the exact solutions of the degree distributions. Finally, the characteristics of the tail of the degree distributions are explored after simulation verification. Our results show that the tail of the degree distribution for RBDN exhibits a Poisson tail in the case of 0<p<=1/2 and an exponential tail as p approaches to 1.
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The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being responded with various methods, applying vaccines, experimental treatment options, total lockdowns or partial curfews. Weekend curfews is one of the methods to reduce the amount of infected persons and this method is practically applied in some countries such as Turkey. In this study, the effect of weekend curfews on reducing the spread of a contagious disease, such as COVID-19, is modeled using a Monte Carlo algorithm with a hybrid lattice model. In the simulation setup, a fictional country with three towns and 26,610 citizens were used as a model. Results indicate that applying a weekend curfew reduces the active cases significantly and is one of the efficient ways to fight the epidemic. The results also show that applying personal precautions such as social distancing is important for reducing the number of cases and deaths.
Monte Carlo simulations are widely used in many areas including particle accelerators. In this lecture, after a short introduction and reviewing of some statistical backgrounds, we will discuss methods such as direct inversion, rejection method, and Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample a probability distribution function, and methods for variance reduction to evaluate numerical integrals using the Monte Carlo simulation. We will also briefly introduce the quasi-Monte Carlo sampling at the end of this lecture.
Recent contributions address the problem of language coexistence as that of two species competing to aggregate speakers, thus focusing on the dynamics of linguistic traits across populations. They draw inspiration from physics and biology and share some underlying ideas -- e. g. the search for minimal schemes to explain complex situations or the notion that languages are extant entities in a societal context and, accordingly, that objective, mathematical laws emerge driving the aforementioned dynamics. Different proposals pay attention to distinct aspects of such systems: Some of them emphasize the distribution of the population in geographical space, others research exhaustively the role of bilinguals in idealized situations (e. g. isolated populations), and yet others rely extremely on equations taken unchanged from physics or biology and whose parameters bear actual geometrical meaning. Despite the sources of these models -- so unrelated to linguistics -- sound results begin to surface that establish conditions and make testable predictions regarding language survival within populations of speakers, with a decisive role reserved to bilingualism. Here we review the most recent works and their interesting outcomes stressing their physical theoretical basis, and discuss the relevance and meaning of the abstract mathematical findings for real-life situations.
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