Prediction of Daily Precipitation using an Artificial Neural Network Technique combined with Wavelet Decomposition
published by Aِl-Baath University
in 2017
in
and research's language is
العربية
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Abstract in English
Rainfall is highly non-linear and complicated phenomena, which require nonlinear
mathematical modeling and simulation for accurate prediction. This study
comparing the performance of the prediction of one-day-ahead, where Two
Feed Forward Neural Network FFNN models were developed and implemented
to predict the rainfall on daily for three months (December, January, February).
These models are Artificial Neural Network traditional (ANN) model and artificial
neural network technique combined with wavelet decomposition (Wavelet-
Neural) According to two different methods to build a model using two types of
wavelets of Daubechies family (db2, db5). In order to compare the performance
of the models in their ability to predict the rains on short-term (for one and two
and three-days-ahead) the last months of the period of study, used some statistical
standards, These parameters include the Root Mean Square Error RMSE,
Coefficient Of Correlation (R).
References used
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SOMVANSHI, K.V; PANDEY, P.O; AGRAWAL, K.P; KALANKER, V.N; PRAKASH, R.M; CHAND, R 2006. Modelling and prediction of rainfall using artificial neural network and ARIMA techniques. J. Ind. Geophys. Union, Vol.10. No.2, 141- 151