Temperature and rainfall changes in Lattakia, kasaab and Slenfeh during 1978-2011


Abstract in English

Due to the importance of climate changes and their strong and increasing influences on different human and ecological systems, It is necessary to study and understand these changes. This research aims to determine the direction and magnitude of the change in temperatures and rainfall trend during 1978-2011 in Latakia, Kasaab and Slenfeh. The study has been done through the analysis of annual, seasonal, and monthly rainfall amount and temperature average, which showed a significant increasing in the average annual temperature in the three regions and significant seasonally increasing except for Winter in Latakia and Slenfeh, Autumn in Latakia. But the annual rainfall changes were nonsignificant, while seasonally rainfall increased significantly in Slenfeh Winter and decreased in Kasaab Winter. After dividing the entire study duration into two equal periods 1978-1995, 1995-2011 and comparing the second period with the first one, we found a significant increasing in the average annual temperature in the three regions, non- significant in the annual and seasonal rainfall changes. The highest significant in seasonal temperature in Latakia, Kasaab and Slenfeh reached +1.5, +2.9, +1.8 during September, August، and May respectively. While the annual drought showed increased trend in Latakia and kasaab and decreased one in Slenfeh.

References used

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ALPERT, P.; KRICHAK, S.O.; SHAFIR, H.; HAIM, D.; OSETINSKY, I. Climatic trends to extremes employing regional modeling and statistical interpretation over the E. Mediterranean. Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 63, N. 2-3, 2008, 163-170
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