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Register a new userModel reconstruction of nonlinear dynamical systems driven by noise
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Added by
Vadim Smelyanskiy N.
Publication date
2003
fields
Physics
and research's language is
English
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An efficient technique is introduced for model inference of complex nonlinear dynamical systems driven by noise. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is robust in a broad range %of parameters of dynamical models. It is applied to clinically measured blood pressure signal for the simultaneous inference of the strength, directionality, and the noise intensities in the nonlinear interaction between the cardiac and respiratory oscillations.
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An extremely challenging problem of significant interest is to predict catastrophes in advance of their occurrences. We present a general approach to predicting catastrophes in nonlinear dynamical systems under the assumption that the system equations are completely unknown and only time series reflecting the evolution of the dynamical variables of the system are available. Our idea is to expand the vector field or map of the underlying system into a suitable function series and then to use the compressive-sensing technique to accurately estimate the various terms in the expansion. Examples using paradigmatic chaotic systems are provided to demonstrate our idea.
The Weibull function is widely used to describe skew distributions observed in nature. However, the origin of this ubiquity is not always obvious to explain. In the present paper, we consider the well-known Galton-Watson branching process describing simple replicative systems. The shape of the resulting distribution, about which little has been known, is found essentially indistinguishable from the Weibull form in a wide range of the branching parameter; this can be seen from the exact series expansion for the cumulative distribution, which takes a universal form. We also find that the branching process can be mapped into a process of aggregation of clusters. In the branching and aggregation process, the number of events considered for branching and aggregation grows cumulatively in time, whereas, for the binomial distribution, an independent event occurs at each time with a given success probability.
Langevin models are frequently used to model various stochastic processes in different fields of natural and social sciences. They are adapted to measured data by estimation techniques such as maximum likelihood estimation, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, or the non-parametric direct estimation method introduced by Friedrich et al. The latter has the distinction of being very effective in the context of large data sets. Due to their $delta$-correlated noise, standard Langevin models are limited to Markovian dynamics. A non-Markovian Langevin model can be formulated by introducing a hidden component that realizes correlated noise. For the estimation of such a partially observed diffusion a different version of the direct estimation method was introduced by Lehle et al. However, this procedure includes the limitation that the correlation length of the noise component is small compared to that of the measured component. In this work we propose another version of the direct estimation method that does not include this restriction. Via this method it is possible to deal with large data sets of a wider range of examples in an effective way. We discuss the abilities of the proposed procedure using several synthetic examples.
The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and economics. In this paper, we review the recent advances in this forefront and rapidly evolving field, aiming to cover topics such as compressive sensing (a novel optimization paradigm for sparse-signal reconstruction), noised-induced dynamical mapping, perturbations, reverse engineering, synchronization, inner composition alignment, global silencing, Granger Causality and alternative optimization algorithms. Often, these rely on various concepts from statistical and nonlinear physics such as phase transitions, bifurcation, stabilities, and robustness. The methodologies have the potential to significantly improve our ability to understand a variety of complex dynamical systems ranging from gene regulatory systems to social networks towards the ultimate goal of controlling such systems. Despite recent progress, many challenges remain. A purpose of this Review is then to point out the specific difficulties as they arise from different contexts, so as to stimulate further efforts in this interdisciplinary field.
A theory of systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of binary N-step Markov chains is developed. In the model, the conditional probability that the i-th symbol in the chain equals zero (or unity) is a linear function of the number of unities among the preceding N symbols. The correlation and distribution functions as well as the variance of number of symbols in the words of arbitrary length L are obtained analytically and numerically. A self-similarity of the studied stochastic process is revealed and the similarity group transformation of the chain parameters is presented. The diffusion Fokker-Planck equation governing the distribution function of the L-words is explored. If the persistent correlations are not extremely strong, the distribution function is shown to be the Gaussian with the variance being nonlinearly dependent on L. The applicability of the developed theory to the coarse-grained written and DNA texts is discussed.
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