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Long-term persistence and multifractality of river runoff records: Detrended fluctuation studies

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 Added by Jan W. Kantelhardt
 Publication date 2003
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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We study temporal correlations and multifractal properties of long river discharge records from 41 hydrological stations around the globe. To detect long-term correlations and multifractal behaviour in the presence of trends, we apply several recently developed methods [detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), wavelet analysis, and multifractal DFA] that can systematically detect and overcome nonstationarities in the data at all time scales. We find that above some crossover time that usually is several weeks, the daily runoffs are long-term correlated, being characterized by a correlation function C(s) that decays as C(s) ~ s^(gamma). The exponent gamma varies from river to river in a wide range between 0.1 and 0.9. The power-law decay of C(s) corresponds to a power-law increase of the related fluctuation function F_2(s) ~ s^H where H = 1-gamma/2. We also find that in most records, for large times, weak multifractality occurs. The Renyi exponent tau(q) for q between -10 and +10 can be fitted to the remarkably simple form tau(q) = -ln(a^q+b^q) /ln 2, with solely two parameters a and b between 0 and 1 with a+b >= 1. This type of multifractality is obtained from a generalization of the multiplicative cascade model.



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We study the multifractal temporal scaling properties of river discharge and precipitation records. We compare the results for the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis method with the results for the wavelet transform modulus maxima technique and obtain agreement within the error margins. In contrast to previous studies, we find non-universal behaviour: On long time scales, above a crossover time scale of several months, the runoff records are described by fluctuation exponents varying from river to river in a wide range. Similar variations are observed for the precipitation records which exhibit weaker, but still significant multifractality. For all runoff records the type of multifractality is consistent with a modified version of the binomial multifractal model, while several precipitation records seem to require different models.
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110 - A. Oya , H. H. Bui , N. Hiraoka 2015
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We examine the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), which is a well-established method for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. We show that deviations from scaling that appear at small time scales become stronger in higher orders of DFA, and suggest a modified DFA method to remove them. The improvement is necessary especially for short records that are affected by non-stationarities. Furthermore, we describe how crossovers in the correlation behavior can be detected reliably and determined quantitatively and show how several types of trends in the data affect the different orders of DFA.
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