Three distinct types of behaviour have recently been identified in the two-dimensional trapped bosonic gas, namely; a phase coherent Bose-Einstein condensate (BEC), a Berezinskii-Kosterlitz-Thouless-type (BKT) superfluid and normal gas phases in order of increasing temperature. In the BKT phase the system favours the formation of vortex-antivortex pairs, since the free energy is lowered by this topological defect. We provide a simple estimate of the free energy of a dilute Bose gas with and without such vortex dipole excitations and show how this varies with particle number and temperature. In this way we can estimate the temperature for cross-over from the coherent BEC to the (only) locally ordered BKT-like phase by identifying when vortex dipole excitations proliferate. Our results are in qualitative agreement with recent, numerically intensive, classical field simulations.