We allow for nonlinear effects in the likelihood analysis of galaxy peculiar velocities, and obtain ~35%-lower values for the cosmological density parameter Om and the amplitude of mass-density fluctuations. The power spectrum in the linear regime is assumed to be a flat LCDM model (h=0.65, n=1, COBE) with only Om as a free parameter. Since the likelihood is driven by the nonlinear regime, we break the power spectrum at k_b=0.2 h/Mpc and fit a power law at k>k_b. This allows for independent matching of the nonlinear behavior and an unbiased fit in the linear regime. The analysis assumes Gaussian fluctuations and errors, and a linear relation between velocity and density. Tests using proper mock catalogs demonstrate a reduced bias and a better fit. We find for the Mark3 and SFI data Om_m=0.32+-0.06 and 0.37+-0.09 respectively, with sigma_8*Om^0.6 = 0.49+-0.06 and 0.63+-0.08, in agreement with constraints from other data. The quoted 90% errors include cosmic variance. The improvement in likelihood due to the nonlinear correction is very significant for Mark3 and moderately so for SFI. When allowing deviations from LCDM, we find an indication for a wiggle in the power spectrum: an excess near k=0.05 and a deficiency at k=0.1 (cold flow). This may be related to the wiggle seen in the power spectrum from redshift surveys and the second peak in the CMB anisotropy. A chi^2 test applied to modes of a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) shows that the nonlinear procedure improves the goodness of fit and reduces a spatial gradient of concern in the linear analysis. The PCA allows addressing spatial features of the data and fine-tuning the theoretical and error models. It shows that the models used are appropriate for the cosmological parameter estimation performed. We address the potential for optimal data compression using PCA.
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