No Arabic abstract
$ell_1$-penalized quantile regression is widely used for analyzing high-dimensional data with heterogeneity. It is now recognized that the $ell_1$-penalty introduces non-negligible estimation bias, while a proper use of concave regularization may lead to estimators with refined convergence rates and oracle properties as the signal strengthens. Although folded concave penalized $M$-estimation with strongly convex loss functions have been well studied, the extant literature on quantile regression is relatively silent. The main difficulty is that the quantile loss is piecewise linear: it is non-smooth and has curvature concentrated at a single point. To overcome the lack of smoothness and strong convexity, we propose and study a convolution-type smoothed quantile regression with iteratively reweighted $ell_1$-regularization. The resulting smoothed empirical loss is twice continuously differentiable and (provably) locally strongly convex with high probability. We show that the iteratively reweighted $ell_1$-penalized smoothed quantile regression estimator, after a few iterations, achieves the optimal rate of convergence, and moreover, the oracle rate and the strong oracle property under an almost necessary and sufficient minimum signal strength condition. Extensive numerical studies corroborate our theoretical results.
Though Gaussian graphical models have been widely used in many scientific fields, limited progress has been made to link graph structures to external covariates because of substantial challenges in theory and computation. We propose a Gaussian graphical regression model, which regresses both the mean and the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates. In the context of co-expression quantitative trait locus (QTL) studies, our framework facilitates estimation of both population- and subject-level gene regulatory networks, and detection of how subject-level networks vary with genetic variants and clinical conditions. Our framework accommodates high dimensional responses and covariates, and encourages covariate effects on both the mean and the precision matrix to be sparse. In particular for the precision matrix, we stipulate simultaneous sparsity, i.e., group sparsity and element-wise sparsity, on effective covariates and their effects on network edges, respectively. We establish variable selection consistency first under the case with known mean parameters and then a more challenging case with unknown means depending on external covariates, and show in both cases that the convergence rate of the estimated precision parameters is faster than that obtained by lasso or group lasso, a desirable property for the sparse group lasso estimation. The utility and efficacy of our proposed method is demonstrated through simulation studies and an application to a co-expression QTL study with brain cancer patients.
The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level often happens after estimating the degree of smoothness. Similarly, for high-dimensional regression, oracle inequalities for sparse estimators could be utilized to construct sharp confidence sets. Yet the degree of sparsity itself is unknown and needs to be estimated, causing the honesty problem. To resolve this issue, we develop a novel method to construct honest confidence sets for sparse high-dimensional linear regression. The key idea in our construction is to separate signals into a strong and a weak group, and then construct confidence sets for each group separately. This is achieved by a projection and shrinkage approach, the latter implemented via Stein estimation and the associated Stein unbiased risk estimate. Our confidence set is honest over the full parameter space without any sparsity constraints, while its diameter adapts to the optimal rate of $n^{-1/4}$ when the true parameter is indeed sparse. Through extensive numerical comparisons, we demonstrate that our method outperforms other competitors with big margins for finite samples, including oracle methods built upon the true sparsity of the underlying model.
Labeling patients in electronic health records with respect to their statuses of having a disease or condition, i.e. case or control statuses, has increasingly relied on prediction models using high-dimensional variables derived from structured and unstructured electronic health record data. A major hurdle currently is a lack of valid statistical inference methods for the case probability. In this paper, considering high-dimensional sparse logistic regression models for prediction, we propose a novel bias-corrected estimator for the case probability through the development of linearization and variance enhancement techniques. We establish asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator for any loading vector in high dimensions. We construct a confidence interval for the case probability and propose a hypothesis testing procedure for patient case-control labelling. We demonstrate the proposed method via extensive simulation studies and application to real-world electronic health record data.
With the availability of high dimensional genetic biomarkers, it is of interest to identify heterogeneous effects of these predictors on patients survival, along with proper statistical inference. Censored quantile regression has emerged as a powerful tool for detecting heterogeneous effects of covariates on survival outcomes. To our knowledge, there is little work available to draw inference on the effects of high dimensional predictors for censored quantile regression. This paper proposes a novel procedure to draw inference on all predictors within the framework of global censored quantile regression, which investigates covariate-response associations over an interval of quantile levels, instead of a few discrete values. The proposed estimator combines a sequence of low dimensional model estimates that are based on multi-sample splittings and variable selection. We show that, under some regularity conditions, the estimator is consistent and asymptotically follows a Gaussian process indexed by the quantile level. Simulation studies indicate that our procedure can properly quantify the uncertainty of the estimates in high dimensional settings. We apply our method to analyze the heterogeneous effects of SNPs residing in lung cancer pathways on patients survival, using the Boston Lung Cancer Survival Cohort, a cancer epidemiology study on the molecular mechanism of lung cancer.
This paper develops a novel spatial quantile function-on-scalar regression model, which studies the conditional spatial distribution of a high-dimensional functional response given scalar predictors. With the strength of both quantile regression and copula modeling, we are able to explicitly characterize the conditional distribution of the functional or image response on the whole spatial domain. Our method provides a comprehensive understanding of the effect of scalar covariates on functional responses across different quantile levels and also gives a practical way to generate new images for given covariate values. Theoretically, we establish the minimax rates of convergence for estimating coefficient functions under both fixed and random designs. We further develop an efficient primal-dual algorithm to handle high-dimensional image data. Simulations and real data analysis are conducted to examine the finite-sample performance.