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Register a new userPredicting Vehicles Longitudinal Trajectories and Lane Changes on Highway On-Ramps
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Nachuan Li
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Vehicles on highway on-ramps are one of the leading contributors to congestion. In this paper, we propose a prediction framework that predicts the longitudinal trajectories and lane changes (LCs) of vehicles on highway on-ramps and tapers. Specifically, our framework adopts a combination of prediction models that inputs a 4 seconds duration of a trajectory to output a forecast of the longitudinal trajectories and LCs up to 15 seconds ahead. Training and Validation based on next generation simulation (NGSIM) data show that the prediction power of the developed model and its accuracy outperforms a traditional long-short term memory (LSTM) model. Ultimately, the work presented here can alleviate the congestion experienced on on-ramps, improve safety, and guide effective traffic control strategies.
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Merging at highway on-ramps while interacting with other human-driven vehicles is challenging for autonomous vehicles (AVs). An efficient route to this challenge requires exploring and exploiting knowledge of the interaction process from demonstrations by humans. However, it is unclear what information (or environmental states) is utilized by the human driver to guide their behavior throughout the whole merging process. This paper provides quantitative analysis and evaluation of the merging behavior at highway on-ramps with congested traffic in a volume of time and space. Two types of social interaction scenarios are considered based on the social preferences of surrounding vehicles: courteous and rude. The significant levels of environmental states for characterizing the interactive merging process are empirically analyzed based on the real-world INTERACTION dataset. Experimental results reveal two fundamental mechanisms in the merging process: 1) Human drivers select different states to make sequential decisions at different moments of task execution, and 2) the social preference of surrounding vehicles can impact variable selection for making decisions. It implies that efficient decision-making design should filter out irrelevant information while considering social preference to achieve comparable human-level performance. These essential findings shed light on developing new decision-making approaches for AVs.
Humans make daily routine decisions based on their internal states in intricate interaction scenarios. This paper presents a probabilistically reconstructive learning approach to identify the internal states of multi-vehicle sequential interactions when merging at highway on-ramps. We treated the merging tasks sequential decision as a dynamic, stochastic process and then integrated the internal states into an HMM-GMR model, a probabilistic combination of an extended Gaussian mixture regression (GMR) and hidden Markov models (HMM). We also developed a variant expectation-maximum (EM) algorithm to estimate the model parameters and verified it based on a real-world data set. Experiment results reveal that three interpretable internal states can semantically describe the interactive merge procedure at highway on-ramps. This finding provides a basis to develop an efficient model-based decision-making algorithm for autonomous vehicles (AVs) in a partially observable environment.
Active Traffic Management strategies are often adopted in real-time to address such sudden flow breakdowns. When queuing is imminent, Speed Harmonization (SH), which adjusts speeds in upstream traffic to mitigate traffic showckwaves downstream, can be applied. However, because SH depends on driver awareness and compliance, it may not always be effective in mitigating congestion. The use of multiagent reinforcement learning for collaborative learning, is a promising solution to this challenge. By incorporating this technique in the control algorithms of connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV), it may be possible to train the CAVs to make joint decisions that can mitigate highway bottleneck congestion without human driver compliance to altered speed limits. In this regard, we present an RL-based multi-agent CAV control model to operate in mixed traffic (both CAVs and human-driven vehicles (HDVs)). The results suggest that even at CAV percent share of corridor traffic as low as 10%, CAVs can significantly mitigate bottlenecks in highway traffic. Another objective was to assess the efficacy of the RL-based controller vis-`a-vis that of the rule-based controller. In addressing this objective, we duly recognize that one of the main challenges of RL-based CAV controllers is the variety and complexity of inputs that exist in the real world, such as the information provided to the CAV by other connected entities and sensed information. These translate as dynamic length inputs which are difficult to process and learn from. For this reason, we propose the use of Graphical Convolution Networks (GCN), a specific RL technique, to preserve information network topology and corresponding dynamic length inputs. We then use this, combined with Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG), to carry out multi-agent training for congestion mitigation using the CAV controllers.
Lane-changing is an important driving behavior and unreasonable lane changes can result in potentially dangerous traffic collisions. Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS) can assist drivers to change lanes safely and efficiently. To capture the stochastic time series of lane-changing behavior, this study proposes a temporal convolutional network (TCN) to predict the long-term lane-changing trajectory and behavior. In addition, the convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN) methods are considered as the benchmark models to demonstrate the learning ability of the TCN. The lane-changing dataset was collected by the driving simulator. The prediction performance of TCN is demonstrated from three aspects: different input variables, different input dimensions and different driving scenarios. Prediction results show that the TCN can accurately predict the long-term lane-changing trajectory and driving behavior with shorter computational time compared with two benchmark models. The TCN can provide accurate lane-changing prediction, which is one key information for the development of accurate ADAS.
We introduce a prioritized system-optimal algorithm for mandatory lane change (MLC) behavior of connected and automated vehicles (CAV) from a dedicated lane. Our approach applies a cooperative lane change that prioritizes the decisions of lane changing vehicles which are closer to the end of the diverging zone (DZ), and optimizes the predicted total system travel time. Our experiments on synthetic data show that the proposed algorithm improves the traffic network efficiency by attaining higher speeds in the dedicated lane and earlier MLC positions while ensuring a low computational time. Our approach outperforms the traditional gap acceptance model.
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