No Arabic abstract
It is essential but challenging to predict future trajectories of various agents in complex scenes. Whether it is internal personality factors of agents, interactive behavior of the neighborhood, or the influence of surroundings, it will have an impact on their future behavior styles. It means that even for the same physical type of agents, there are huge differences in their behavior preferences. Although recent works have made significant progress in studying agents multi-modal plannings, most of them still apply the same prediction strategy to all agents, which makes them difficult to fully show the multiple styles of vast agents. In this paper, we propose the Multi-Style Network (MSN) to focus on this problem by divide agents preference styles into several hidden behavior categories adaptively and train each categorys prediction network separately, therefore giving agents all styles of predictions simultaneously. Experiments demonstrate that our deterministic MSN-D and generative MSN-G outperform many recent state-of-the-art methods and show better multi-style characteristics in the visualized results.
Precise destination prediction of taxi trajectories can benefit many intelligent location based services such as accurate ad for passengers. Traditional prediction approaches, which treat trajectories as one-dimensional sequences and process them in single scale, fail to capture the diverse two-dimensional patterns of trajectories in different spatial scales. In this paper, we propose T-CONV which models trajectories as two-dimensional images, and adopts multi-layer convolutional neural networks to combine multi-scale trajectory patterns to achieve precise prediction. Furthermore, we conduct gradient analysis to visualize the multi-scale spatial patterns captured by T-CONV and extract the areas with distinct influence on the ultimate prediction. Finally, we integrate multiple local enhancement convolutional fields to explore these important areas deeply for better prediction. Comprehensive experiments based on real trajectory data show that T-CONV can achieve higher accuracy than the state-of-the-art methods.
Making accurate motion prediction of the surrounding traffic agents such as pedestrians, vehicles, and cyclists is crucial for autonomous driving. Recent data-driven motion prediction methods have attempted to learn to directly regress the exact future position or its distribution from massive amount of trajectory data. However, it remains difficult for these methods to provide multimodal predictions as well as integrate physical constraints such as traffic rules and movable areas. In this work we propose a novel two-stage motion prediction framework, Trajectory Proposal Network (TPNet). TPNet first generates a candidate set of future trajectories as hypothesis proposals, then makes the final predictions by classifying and refining the proposals which meets the physical constraints. By steering the proposal generation process, safe and multimodal predictions are realized. Thus this framework effectively mitigates the complexity of motion prediction problem while ensuring the multimodal output. Experiments on four large-scale trajectory prediction datasets, i.e. the ETH, UCY, Apollo and Argoverse datasets, show that TPNet achieves the state-of-the-art results both quantitatively and qualitatively.
Trajectory prediction in urban mixed-traffic zones (a.k.a. shared spaces) is critical for many intelligent transportation systems, such as intent detection for autonomous driving. However, there are many challenges to predict the trajectories of heterogeneous road agents (pedestrians, cyclists and vehicles) at a microscopical level. For example, an agent might be able to choose multiple plausible paths in complex interactions with other agents in varying environments. To this end, we propose an approach named Multi-Context Encoder Network (MCENET) that is trained by encoding both past and future scene context, interaction context and motion information to capture the patterns and variations of the future trajectories using a set of stochastic latent variables. In inference time, we combine the past context and motion information of the target agent with samplings of the latent variables to predict multiple realistic trajectories in the future. Through experiments on several datasets of varying scenes, our method outperforms some of the recent state-of-the-art methods for mixed traffic trajectory prediction by a large margin and more robust in a very challenging environment. The impact of each context is justified via ablation studies.
Trajectory prediction is critical for applications of planning safe future movements and remains challenging even for the next few seconds in urban mixed traffic. How an agent moves is affected by the various behaviors of its neighboring agents in different environments. To predict movements, we propose an end-to-end generative model named Attentive Maps Encoder Network (AMENet) that encodes the agents motion and interaction information for accurate and realistic multi-path trajectory prediction. A conditional variational auto-encoder module is trained to learn the latent space of possible future paths based on attentive dynamic maps for interaction modeling and then is used to predict multiple plausible future trajectories conditioned on the observed past trajectories. The efficacy of AMENet is validated using two public trajectory prediction benchmarks Trajnet and InD.
An effective understanding of the contextual environment and accurate motion forecasting of surrounding agents is crucial for the development of autonomous vehicles and social mobile robots. This task is challenging since the behavior of an autonomous agent is not only affected by its own intention, but also by the static environment and surrounding dynamically interacting agents. Previous works focused on utilizing the spatial and temporal information in time domain while not sufficiently taking advantage of the cues in frequency domain. To this end, we propose a Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network (SpecTGNN), which can capture inter-agent correlations and temporal dependency simultaneously in frequency domain in addition to time domain. SpecTGNN operates on both an agent graph with dynamic state information and an environment graph with the features extracted from context images in two streams. The model integrates graph Fourier transform, spectral graph convolution and temporal gated convolution to encode history information and forecast future trajectories. Moreover, we incorporate a multi-head spatio-temporal attention mechanism to mitigate the effect of error propagation in a long time horizon. We demonstrate the performance of SpecTGNN on two public trajectory prediction benchmark datasets, which achieves state-of-the-art performance in terms of prediction accuracy.