Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userMachine learning-based conditional mean filter: a generalization of the ensemble Kalman filter for nonlinear data assimilation
100
0
0.0
(
0
)
Added by
Truong-Vinh Hoang
Publication date
2021
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
Authors
Truong-Vinh Hoang
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
Filtering is a data assimilation technique that performs the sequential inference of dynamical systems states from noisy observations. Herein, we propose a machine learning-based ensemble conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) for tracking possibly high-dimensional non-Gaussian state models with nonlinear dynamics based on sparse observations. The proposed filtering method is developed based on the conditional expectation and numerically implemented using machine learning (ML) techniques combined with the ensemble method. The contribution of this work is twofold. First, we demonstrate that the ensembles assimilated using the ensemble conditional mean filter (EnCMF) provide an unbiased estimator of the Bayesian posterior mean, and their variance matches the expected conditional variance. Second, we implement the EnCMF using artificial neural networks, which have a significant advantage in representing nonlinear functions over high-dimensional domains such as the conditional mean. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the ML-EnCMF for tracking the states of Lorenz-63 and Lorenz-96 systems under the chaotic regime. Numerical results show that the ML-EnCMF outperforms the ensemble Kalman filter.
rate research
Read More
We present a novel algorithm based on the ensemble Kalman filter to solve inverse problems involving multiscale elliptic partial differential equations. Our method is based on numerical homogenization and finite element discretization and allows to recover a highly oscillatory tensor from measurements of the multiscale solution in a computationally inexpensive manner. The properties of the approximate solution are analysed with respect to the multiscale and discretization parameters, and a convergence result is shown to hold. A reinterpretation of the solution from a Bayesian perspective is provided, and convergence of the approximate conditional posterior distribution is proved with respect to the Wasserstein distance. A numerical experiment validates our methodology, with a particular emphasis on modelling error and computational cost.
This work develops a new multifidelity ensemble Kalman filter (MFEnKF) algorithm based on linear control variate framework. The approach allows for rigorous multifidelity extensions of the EnKF, where the uncertainty in coarser fidelities in the hierarchy of models represent control variates for the uncertainty in finer fidelities. Small ensembles of high fidelity model runs are complemented by larger ensembles of cheaper, lower fidelity runs, to obtain much improved analyses at only small additional computational costs. We investigate the use of reduced order models as coarse fidelity control variates in the MFEnKF, and provide analyses to quantify the improvements over the traditional ensemble Kalman filters. We apply these ideas to perform data assimilation with a quasi-geostrophic test problem, using direct numerical simulation and a corresponding POD-Galerkin reduced order model. Numerical results show that the two-fidelity MFEnKF provides better analyses than existing EnKF algorithms at comparable or reduced computational costs.
Variational Inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces the state-of-the-art results for latent trajectory inference. A body of recent works focused on Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its expansion, e.g., Forward Filtering Backward Simulation (FFBSi). These studies achieved a great success, however, remain a serious problem for particle degeneracy. In this paper, we propose Ensemble Kalman Objectives (EnKOs), the hybrid method of VI and Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), to infer the State Space Models (SSMs). Unlike the SMC based methods, the our proposed method can identify the latent dynamics given fewer particles because of its rich particle diversity. We demonstrate that EnKOs outperform the SMC based methods in terms of predictive ability for three benchmark nonlinear dynamics systems tasks.
The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We reformulate the EnKF under the framework of Langevin dynamics, which leads to a new particle filtering algorithm, the so-called Langevinized EnKF. The Langevinized EnKF inherits the forecast-analysis procedure from the EnKF and the use of mini-batch data from the stochastic gradient Langevin-type algorithms, which make it scalable with respect to both the dimension and sample size. We prove that the Langevinized EnKF converges to the right filtering distribution in Wasserstein distance under the big data scenario that the dynamic system consists of a large number of stages and has a large number of samples observed at each stage. We reformulate the Bayesian inverse problem as a dynamic state estimation problem based on the techniques of subsampling and Langevin diffusion process. We illustrate the performance of the Langevinized EnKF using a variety of examples, including the Lorenz-96 model, high-dimensional variable selection, Bayesian deep learning, and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network learning with dynamic data.
The universality of the celebrated Kalman filtering can be found in control theory. The Kalman filter has found its striking applications in sophisticated autonomous systems and smart products, which are attributed to its realization in a single complex chip. In this paper, we revisit the Kalman filter from the perspective of conditional characteristic function evolution and Ito calculus and develop three Kalman filtering Theorems and their formal proof. Most notably, this paper reveals the following: (i) Kalman filtering equations are a consequence of the evolution of conditional characteristic function for the linear stochastic differential system coupled with the linear discrete measurement system. (ii) The Kalman filtering is a consequence of the stochastic evolution of conditional characteristic function for the linear stochastic differential system coupled with the linear continuous measurement system. (iii) The structure of the Kalman filter remains invariant under two popular stochastic interpretations, the Ito vs Stratonovich.
suggested questions
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
