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A Physics-Informed Deep Learning Paradigm for Traffic State Estimation and Fundamental Diagram Discovery

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 Added by Zhaobin Mo
 Publication date 2021
and research's language is English




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Traffic state estimation (TSE) bifurcates into two main categories, model-driven and data-driven (e.g., machine learning, ML) approaches, while each suffers from either deficient physics or small data. To mitigate these limitations, recent studies introduced hybrid methods, such as physics-informed deep learning (PIDL), which contains both model-driven and data-driven components. This paper contributes an improved paradigm, called physics-informed deep learning with a fundamental diagram learner (PIDL+FDL), which integrates ML terms into the model-driven component to learn a functional form of a fundamental diagram (FD), i.e., a mapping from traffic density to flow or velocity. The proposed PIDL+FDL has the advantages of performing the TSE learning, model parameter discovery, and FD discovery simultaneously. This paper focuses on highway TSE with observed data from loop detectors, using traffic density or velocity as traffic variables. We demonstrate the use of PIDL+FDL to solve popular first-order and second-order traffic flow models and reconstruct the FD relation as well as model parameters that are outside the FD term. We then evaluate the PIDL+FDL-based TSE using the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) dataset. The experimental results show the superiority of the PIDL+FDL in terms of improved estimation accuracy and data efficiency over advanced baseline TSE methods, and additionally, the capacity to properly learn the unknown underlying FD relation.



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Traffic state estimation (TSE), which reconstructs the traffic variables (e.g., density) on road segments using partially observed data, plays an important role on efficient traffic control and operation that intelligent transportation systems (ITS) need to provide to people. Over decades, TSE approaches bifurcate into two main categories, model-driven approaches and data-driven approaches. However, each of them has limitations: the former highly relies on existing physical traffic flow models, such as Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) models, which may only capture limited dynamics of real-world traffic, resulting in low-quality estimation, while the latter requires massive data in order to perform accurate and generalizable estimation. To mitigate the limitations, this paper introduces a physics-informed deep learning (PIDL) framework to efficiently conduct high-quality TSE with small amounts of observed data. PIDL contains both model-driven and data-driven components, making possible the integration of the strong points of both approaches while overcoming the shortcomings of either. This paper focuses on highway TSE with observed data from loop detectors, using traffic density as the traffic variables. We demonstrate the use of PIDL to solve (with data from loop detectors) two popular physical traffic flow models, i.e., Greenshields-based LWR and three-parameter-based LWR, and discover the model parameters. We then evaluate the PIDL-based highway TSE using the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) dataset. The experimental results show the advantages of the PIDL-based approach in terms of estimation accuracy and data efficiency over advanced baseline TSE methods.
136 - Zhaobin Mo , Xuan Di , Rongye Shi 2020
Car-following behavior has been extensively studied using physics-based models, such as the Intelligent Driver Model. These models successfully interpret traffic phenomena observed in the real-world but may not fully capture the complex cognitive process of driving. Deep learning models, on the other hand, have demonstrated their power in capturing observed traffic phenomena but require a large amount of driving data to train. This paper aims to develop a family of neural network based car-following models that are informed by physics-based models, which leverage the advantage of both physics-based (being data-efficient and interpretable) and deep learning based (being generalizable) models. We design physics-informed deep learning car-following (PIDL-CF) architectures encoded with two popular physics-based models - IDM and OVM, on which acceleration is predicted for four traffic regimes: acceleration, deceleration, cruising, and emergency braking. Two types of PIDL-CFM problems are studied, one to predict acceleration only and the other to jointly predict acceleration and discover model parameters. We also demonstrate the superior performance of PIDL with the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) dataset over baselines, especially when the training data is sparse. The results demonstrate the superior performance of neural networks informed by physics over those without. The developed PIDL-CF framework holds the potential for system identification of driving models and for the development of driving-based controls for automated vehicles.
101 - Fangzheng Sun , Yang Liu , Hao Sun 2021
Dynamical systems are typically governed by a set of linear/nonlinear differential equations. Distilling the analytical form of these equations from very limited data remains intractable in many disciplines such as physics, biology, climate science, engineering and social science. To address this fundamental challenge, we propose a novel Physics-informed Spline Learning (PiSL) framework to discover parsimonious governing equations for nonlinear dynamics, based on sparsely sampled noisy data. The key concept is to (1) leverage splines to interpolate locally the dynamics, perform analytical differentiation and build the library of candidate terms, (2) employ sparse representation of the governing equations, and (3) use the physics residual in turn to inform the spline learning. The synergy between splines and discovered underlying physics leads to the robust capacity of dealing with high-level data scarcity and noise. A hybrid sparsity-promoting alternating direction optimization strategy is developed for systematically pruning the sparse coefficients that form the structure and explicit expression of the governing equations. The efficacy and superiority of the proposed method have been demonstrated by multiple well-known nonlinear dynamical systems, in comparison with two state-of-the-art methods.
This paper deals with traffic density reconstruction using measurements from Probe Vehicles (PVs). The main difficulty arises when considering a low penetration rate, meaning that the number of PVs is small compared to the total number of vehicles on the road. Moreover, the formulation assumes noisy measurements and a partially unknown first-order model. All these considerations make the use of machine learning to reconstruct the state the only applicable solution. We first investigate how the identification and reconstruction processes can be merged and how a sparse dataset can still enable a good identification. Secondly, we propose a pre-training procedure that helps the hyperparameter tuning, preventing the gradient descent algorithm from getting stuck at saddle points. Examples using numerical simulations and the SUMO traffic simulator show that the reconstructions are close to the real density in all cases.
Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) is believed to have much higher sample efficiency compared to model-free algorithms by learning a predictive model of the environment. However, the performance of MBRL highly relies on the quality of the learned model, which is usually built in a black-box manner and may have poor predictive accuracy outside of the data distribution. The deficiencies of the learned model may prevent the policy from being fully optimized. Although some uncertainty analysis-based remedies have been proposed to alleviate this issue, model bias still poses a great challenge for MBRL. In this work, we propose to leverage the prior knowledge of underlying physics of the environment, where the governing laws are (partially) known. In particular, we developed a physics-informed MBRL framework, where governing equations and physical constraints are utilized to inform the model learning and policy search. By incorporating the prior information of the environment, the quality of the learned model can be notably improved, while the required interactions with the environment are significantly reduced, leading to better sample efficiency and learning performance. The effectiveness and merit have been demonstrated over a handful of classic control problems, where the environments are governed by canonical ordinary/partial differential equations.

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