We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together with a probability distribution over the forcing functions. The second is stochastic reachability and large deviation theory for transition paths in Markovian systems. In future work we aim to bring these together to make a tool for predicting capsize rate in different stochastic sea states, suggesting control strategies and improving designs.
The characterization of intermittency in turbulence has its roots in the K62 theory, and if no proper definition is to be found in the literature, statistical properties of intermittency were studied and models were developed in attempt to reproduce it. The first contribution of this work is to propose a requirement list to be satisfied by models designed within the Lagrangian framework. Multifractal stochastic processes are a natural choice to retrieve multifractal properties of the dissipation. Among them, following the proposition of cite{Mandelbrot1968}, we investigate the Gaussian Multiplicative Chaos formalism, which requires the construction of a log-correlated stochastic process $X_t$. The fractional Gaussian noise of Hurst parameter $H = 0$ is of great interest because it leads to a log-correlation for the logarithm of the process.Inspired by the approximation of fractional Brownian motion by an infinite weighted sum of correlated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, our second contribution is to propose a new stochastic model: $X_t = int_0^infty Y_t^x k(x) d x$, where $Y_t^x$ is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with speed of mean reversion $x$ and $k$ is a kernel. A regularization of $k(x)$ is required to ensure stationarity, finite variance and logarithmic auto-correlation. A variety of regularizations are conceivable, and we show that they lead to the aforementioned multifractal models.To simulate the process, we eventually design a new approach relying on a limited number of modes for approximating the integral through a quadrature $X_t^N = sum_{i=1}^N omega_i Y_t^{x_i}$, using a conventional quadrature method. This method can retrieve the expected behavior with only one mode per decade, making this strategy versatile and computationally attractive for simulating such processes, while remaining within the proposed framework for a proper description of intermittency.
In this paper, stochastic inertial manifold for damped wave equations subjected to additive white noise is constructed by the Lyapunov-Perron method. It is proved that when the intensity of noise tends to zero the stochastic inertial manifold converges to its deterministic counterpart almost surely.
The concept of square-mean almost automorphy for stochastic processes is introduced. The existence and uniqueness of square-mean almost automorphic solutions to some linear and non-linear stochastic differential equations are established provided the coefficients satisfy some conditions. The asymptotic stability of the unique square-mean almost automorphic solution in square-mean sense is discussed.
In this paper, we use a unified framework to study Poisson stable (including stationary, periodic, quasi-periodic, almost periodic, almost automorphic, Birkhoff recurrent, almost recurrent in the sense of Bebutov, Levitan almost periodic, pseudo-periodic, pseudo-recurrent and Poisson stable) solutions for semilinear stochastic differential equations driven by infinite dimensional Levy noise with large jumps. Under suitable conditions on drift, diffusion and jump coefficients, we prove that there exist solutions which inherit the Poisson stability of coefficients. Further we show that these solutions are globally asymptotically stable in square-mean sense. Finally, we illustrate our theoretical results by several examples.
In contrast to existing works on stochastic averaging on finite intervals, we establish an averaging principle on the whole real axis, i.e. the so-called second Bogolyubov theorem, for semilinear stochastic ordinary differential equations in Hilbert space with Poisson stable (in particular, periodic, quasi-periodic, almost periodic, almost automorphic etc) coefficients. Under some appropriate conditions we prove that there exists a unique recurrent solution to the original equation, which possesses the same recurrence property as the coefficients, in a small neighborhood of the stationary solution to the averaged equation, and this recurrent solution converges to the stationary solution of averaged equation uniformly on the whole real axis when the time scale approaches zero.