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Model Averaging by Cross-validation for Partially Linear Functional Additive Models

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 Added by Shishi Liu
 Publication date 2021
and research's language is English




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We consider averaging a number of candidate models to produce a prediction of lower risk in the context of partially linear functional additive models. These models incorporate the parametric effect of scalar variables and the additive effect of a functional variable to describe the relationship between a response variable and regressors. We develop a model averaging scheme that assigns the weights by minimizing a cross-validation criterion. Under the framework of model misspecification, the resulting estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal in terms of the lowest possible square error loss for prediction. Also, simulation studies and real data analysis demonstrate the good performance of our proposed method.



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This paper is concerned with model averaging estimation for partially linear functional score models. These models predict a scalar response using both parametric effect of scalar predictors and non-parametric effect of a functional predictor. Within this context, we develop a Mallows-type criterion for choosing weights. The resulting model averaging estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal under certain regularity conditions in terms of achieving the smallest possible squared error loss. Simulation studies demonstrate its superiority or comparability to information criterion score-based model selection and averaging estimators. The proposed procedure is also applied to two real data sets for illustration. That the components of nonparametric part are unobservable leads to a more complicated situation than ordinary partially linear models (PLM) and a different theoretical derivation from those of PLM.
Partially linear additive models generalize the linear models since they model the relation between a response variable and covariates by assuming that some covariates are supposed to have a linear relation with the response but each of the others enter with unknown univariate smooth functions. The harmful effect of outliers either in the residuals or in the covariates involved in the linear component has been described in the situation of partially linear models, that is, when only one nonparametric component is involved in the model. When dealing with additive components, the problem of providing reliable estimators when atypical data arise, is of practical importance motivating the need of robust procedures. Hence, we propose a family of robust estimators for partially linear additive models by combining $B-$splines with robust linear regression estimators. We obtain consistency results, rates of convergence and asymptotic normality for the linear components, under mild assumptions. A Monte Carlo study is carried out to compare the performance of the robust proposal with its classical counterpart under different models and contamination schemes. The numerical experiments show the advantage of the proposed methodology for finite samples. We also illustrate the usefulness of the proposed approach on a real data set.
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