Shannon information criterion for low-high diversity transition in Moran and Voter models


Abstract in English

Mutation and drift play opposite roles in genetics. While mutation creates diversity, drift can cause gene variants to disappear, especially when they are rare. In the absence of natural selection and migration, the balance between the drift and mutation in a well-mixed population defines its diversity. The Moran model captures the effects of these two evolutionary forces and has a counterpart in social dynamics, known as the Voter model with external opinion influencers. Two extreme outcomes of the Voter model dynamics are consensus and polarization, which correspond to low and high diversity in the Moran model. Here we use a Shannons information-theoretic approach to characterize the smooth transition between the ordered and disordered states of consensus and polarization in the Voter model. Mapping the Moran into the Voter model we extend the results to the mutation-drift balance and characterize the transition between low and high diversity in finite populations. Describing the population as a network of connected individuals we show that the transition between the two regimes depends on the geographic structure of the population and on the possible asymmetries in the mutation rates.

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