No Arabic abstract
Due to the fact that basic uncertain information provides a simple form for decision information with certainty degree, it has been developed to reflect the quality of observed or subjective assessments. In order to study the algebra structure and preference relation of basic uncertain information, we develop some algebra operations for basic uncertain information. The order relation of such type of information has also been considered. Finally, to apply the developed algebra operations and order relations, a generalized TODIM method for multi-attribute decision making with basic uncertain information is given. The numerical example shows that the developed decision procedure is valid.
In this paper, we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multicriteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multicriteria analysis can include both monetary and non-monetary criteria that are static or dynamic, whereas standard multi criteria analysis only deals with static criteria and cost benefit analysis only deals with static monetary criteria. The dynamic and uncertain criteria are incorporated by using simulation to explore how the decision options perform. The results of the simulation are then fed into the multicriteria analysis. By enabling the incorporation of dynamic and uncertain criteria, the dynamic multiple criteria analysis was able to take a unique perspective of the problem. The highest ranked option returned by the dynamic multicriteria analysis differed from the other decision aid techniques.
It is a long-standing objective to ease the computation burden incurred by the decision making process. Identification of this mechanisms sensitivity to simplification has tremendous ramifications. Yet, algorithms for decision making under uncertainty usually lean on approximations or heuristics without quantifying their effect. Therefore, challenging scenarios could severely impair the performance of such methods. In this paper, we extend the decision making mechanism to the whole by removing standard approximations and considering all previously suppressed stochastic sources of variability. On top of this extension, our key contribution is a novel framework to simplify decision making while assessing and controlling online the simplifications impact. Furthermore, we present novel stochastic bounds on the return and characterize online the effect of simplification using this framework on a particular simplification technique - reducing the number of samples in belief representation for planning. Finally, we verify the advantages of our approach through extensive simulations.
An agent who lacks preferences and instead makes decisions using criteria that are costly to create should select efficient sets of criteria, where the cost of making a given number of choice distinctions is minimized. Under mild conditions, efficiency requires that binary criteria with only two categories per criterion are chosen. When applied to the problem of determining the optimal number of digits in an information storage device, this result implies that binary digits (bits) are the efficient solution, even when the marginal cost of using additional digits declines rapidly to 0. This short paper pays particular attention to the symmetry conditions entailed when sets of criteria are efficient.
Decision makers involved in the management of civil assets and systems usually take actions under constraints imposed by societal regulations. Some of these constraints are related to epistemic quantities, as the probability of failure events and the corresponding risks. Sensors and inspectors can provide useful information supporting the control process (e.g. the maintenance process of an asset), and decisions about collecting this information should rely on an analysis of its cost and value. When societal regulations encode an economic perspective that is not aligned with that of the decision makers, the Value of Information (VoI) can be negative (i.e., information sometimes hurts), and almost irrelevant information can even have a significant value (either positive or negative), for agents acting under these epistemic constraints. We refer to these phenomena as Information Avoidance (IA) and Information OverValuation (IOV). In this paper, we illustrate how to assess VoI in sequential decision making under epistemic constraints (as those imposed by societal regulations), by modeling a Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDP) and evaluating non optimal policies via Finite State Controllers (FSCs). We focus on the value of collecting information at current time, and on that of collecting sequential information, we illustrate how these values are related and we discuss how IA and IOV can occur in those settings.
Increasing the response time of emergency vehicles(EVs) could lead to an immeasurable loss of property and life. On this account, tactical decision making for EVs microscopic control remains an indispensable issue to be improved. In this paper, a rule-based avoiding strategy(AS) is devised, that CVs in the prioritized zone ahead of EV should accelerate or change their lane to avoid it. Besides, a novel DQN method with speed-adaptive compact state space (SC-DQN) is put forward to fit in EVs high-speed feature and generalize in various road topologies. Afterward, the execution of AS feedback to the input of SC-DQN so that they joint organically as a combinational method. The following approach reveals that DRL could complement rule-based avoiding strategy in generalization, and on the contrary, the rule-based avoiding strategy could complement DRL in stability, and their combination could lead to less response time, lower collision rate and smoother trajectory.