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Register a new userEvolutionary rates of information gain and decay in fluctuating environments
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Nicholas Guttenberg
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In this paper, we wish to investigate the dynamics of information transfer in evolutionary dynamics. We use information theoretic tools to track how much information an evolving population has obtained and managed to retain about different environments that it is exposed to. By understanding the dynamics of information gain and loss in a static environment, we predict how that same evolutionary system would behave when the environment is fluctuating. Specifically, we anticipate a cross-over between the regime in which fluctuations improve the ability of the evolutionary system to capture environmental information and the regime in which the fluctuations inhibit it, governed by a cross-over in the timescales of information gain and decay.
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Living species, ranging from bacteria to animals, exist in environmental conditions that exhibit spatial and temporal heterogeneity which requires them to adapt. Risk-spreading through spontaneous phenotypic variations is a known concept in ecology, which is used to explain how species may survive when faced with the evolutionary risks associated with temporally varying environments. In order to support a deeper understanding of the adaptive role of spontaneous phenotypic variations in fluctuating environments, we consider a system of non-local partial differential equations modelling the evolutionary dynamics of two competing phenotype-structured populations in the presence of periodically oscillating nutrient levels. The two populations undergo spontaneous phenotypic variations at different rates. The phenotypic state of each individual is represented by a continuous variable, and the phenotypic landscape of the populations evolves in time due to variations in the nutrient level. Exploiting the analytical tractability of our model, we study the long-time behaviour of the solutions to obtain a detailed mathematical depiction of evolutionary dynamics. The results suggest that when nutrient levels undergo small and slow oscillations, it is evolutionarily more convenient to rarely undergo spontaneous phenotypic variations. Conversely, under relatively large and fast periodic oscillations in the nutrient levels, which bring about alternating cycles of starvation and nutrient abundance, higher rates of spontaneous phenotypic variations confer a competitive advantage. We discuss the implications of our results in the context of cancer metabolism.
Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a mutant type. We consider a two-state Moran model, where selection intensity at equilibrium may differ (in amplitude and in sign) from selection during periods of sharp growth and sharp decline. Using Kimuras diffusion approximation we present simple formulae for effective population size and effective selection, and use it to calculate the chance of ultimate fixation, the time to fixation and the time to absorption (either fixation or loss). Our analysis shows perfect agreement with numerical solutions for neutral, beneficial and deleterious mutant. The contributions of different processes to the mean and the variance of abundance variations are additive and commutative. As a result, when selection intensity $s$ is weak such that ${cal O}(s^2)$ terms are negligible, periodic or stochastic environmental variations yield identical results.
Microorganisms live in environments that inevitably fluctuate between mild and harsh conditions. As harsh conditions may cause extinctions, the rate at which fluctuations occur can shape microbial communities and their diversity, but we still lack an intuition on how. Here, we build a mathematical model describing two microbial species living in an environment where substrate supplies randomly switch between abundant and scarce. We then vary the rate of switching as well as different properties of the interacting species, and measure the probability of the weaker species driving the stronger one extinct. We find that this probability increases with the strength of demographic noise under harsh conditions and peaks at either low, high, or intermediate switching rates depending on both species ability to withstand the harsh environment. This complex relationship shows why finding patterns between environmental fluctuations and diversity has historically been difficult. In parameter ranges where the fittest species was most likely to be excluded, however, the beta diversity in larger communities also peaked. In sum, how environmental fluctuations affect interactions between a few species pairs predicts their effect on the beta diversity of the whole community.
After Laskar, the Lyapunov time in the solar system is about five millions years (5.000.000 [years]). On the other hand, after Kimura, the evolutionary (phenotypic) rate, for hominids, is 1/5.000.000 [1/years]. Why are these two quantities so closely related? In this work, following a proposition by Finlayson and Hutchings et al, I found an inequality, which relates Lyapunov time and evolution rate. This inequality fits well with some known cases in biological evolution.
The key findings of classical population genetics are derived using a framework based on information theory using the entropies of the allele frequency distribution as a basis. The common results for drift, mutation, selection, and gene flow will be rewritten both in terms of information theoretic measurements and used to draw the classic conclusions for balance conditions and common features of one locus dynamics. Linkage disequilibrium will also be discussed including the relationship between mutual information and r^2 and a simple model of hitchhiking.
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