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Register a new userSurface Warping Incorporating Machine Learning Assisted Domain Likelihood Estimation: A New Paradigm in Mine Geology Modelling and Automation
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This paper illustrates an application of machine learning (ML) within a complex system that performs grade estimation. In surface mining, assay measurements taken from production drilling often provide useful information that allows initially inaccurate surfaces created using sparse exploration data to be revised and subsequently improved. Recently, a Bayesian warping technique has been proposed to reshape modeled surfaces using geochemical and spatial constraints imposed by newly acquired blasthole data. This paper focuses on incorporating machine learning into this warping framework to make the likelihood computation generalizable. The technique works by adjusting the position of vertices on the surface to maximize the integrity of modeled geological boundaries with respect to sparse geochemical observations. Its foundation is laid by a Bayesian derivation in which the geological domain likelihood given the chemistry, p(g|c), plays a similar role to p(y(c)|g). This observation allows a manually calibrated process centered around the latter to be automated since ML techniques may be used to estimate the former in a data-driven way. Machine learning performance is evaluated for gradient boosting, neural network, random forest and other classifiers in a binary and multi-class context using precision and recall rates. Once ML likelihood estimators are integrated in the surface warping framework, surface shaping performance is evaluated using unseen data by examining the categorical distribution of test samples located above and below the warped surface. Large-scale validation experiments are performed to assess the overall efficacy of ML assisted surface warping as a fully integrated component within an ore grade estimation system where the posterior mean is obtained via Gaussian Process inference with a Matern 3/2 kernel.
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Using software UDEC to simulate the instability failure process of slope under seismic load, studing the dynamic response of slope failure, obtaining the deformation characteristics and displacement cloud map of slope, then analyzing the instability state of slope by using the theory of persistent homology, generates bar code map and extracts the topological characteristics of slope from bar code map. The topological characteristics corresponding to the critical state of slope instability are found, and the relationship between topological characteristics and instability evolution is established. Finally, it provides a topological research tool for slope failure prediction. The results show that the change of the longest Betti 1 bar code reflects the evolution process of the slope and the law of instability failure. Using discrete element method and persistent homology theory to study the failure characteristics of slope under external load can better understand the failure mechanism of slope, provide theoretical basis for engineering protection, and also provide a new mathematical method for slope safety design and disaster prediction research.
Channel estimation is the main hurdle to reaping the benefits promised by the intelligent reflecting surface (IRS), due to its absence of ability to transmit/receive pilot signals as well as the huge number of channel coefficients associated with its reflecting elements. Recently, a breakthrough was made in reducing the channel estimation overhead by revealing that the IRS-BS (base station) channels are common in the cascaded user-IRS-BS channels of all the users, and if the cascaded channel of one typical user is estimated, the other users cascaded channels can be estimated very quickly based on their correlation with the typical users channel cite{b5}. One limitation of this strategy, however, is the waste of user energy, because many users need to keep silent when the typical users channel is estimated. In this paper, we reveal another correlation hidden in the cascaded user-IRS-BS channels by observing that the user-IRS channel is common in all the cascaded channels from users to each BS antenna as well. Building upon this finding, we propose a novel two-phase channel estimation protocol in the uplink communication. Specifically, in Phase I, the correlation coefficients between the channels of a typical BS antenna and those of the other antennas are estimated; while in Phase II, the cascaded channel of the typical antenna is estimated. In particular, all the users can transmit throughput Phase I and Phase II. Under this strategy, it is theoretically shown that the minimum number of time instants required for perfect channel estimation is the same as that of the aforementioned strategy in the ideal case without BS noise. Then, in the case with BS noise, we show by simulation that the channel estimation error of our proposed scheme is significantly reduced thanks to the full exploitation of the user energy.
Bayesian inference applied to microseismic activity monitoring allows for principled estimation of the coordinates of microseismic events from recorded seismograms, and their associated uncertainties. However, forward modelling of these microseismic events, necessary to perform Bayesian source inversion, can be prohibitively expensive in terms of computational resources. A viable solution is to train a surrogate model based on machine learning techniques, to emulate the forward model and thus accelerate Bayesian inference. In this paper, we improve on previous work, which considered only sources with isotropic moment tensor. We train a machine learning algorithm on the power spectrum of the recorded pressure wave and show that the trained emulator allows for the complete and fast retrieval of the event coordinates for $textit{any}$ source mechanism. Moreover, we show that our approach is computationally inexpensive, as it can be run in less than 1 hour on a commercial laptop, while yielding accurate results using less than $10^4$ training seismograms. We additionally demonstrate how the trained emulators can be used to identify the source mechanism through the estimation of the Bayesian evidence. This work lays the foundations for the efficient localisation and characterisation of any recorded seismogram, thus helping to quantify human impact on seismic activity and mitigate seismic hazard.
In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to estimate sea surface temperatures (SST). Training data consisted of satellite-derived SST and atmospheric data from The Weather Company. Models were evaluated in terms of accuracy and computational complexity. Predictive skill were assessed against observations and a state-of-the-art, physics-based model from the European Centre for Medium Weather Forecasting. Results demonstrated that by combining automated feature engineering with machine-learning approaches, accuracy comparable to existing state-of-the-art can be achieved. Models captured seasonal patterns in the data and qualitatively reproduce short-term variations driven by atmospheric forcing. Further, it demonstrated that machine-learning-based approaches can be used as transportable prediction tools for ocean variables -- the data-driven nature of the approach naturally integrates with automatic deployment frameworks, where model deployments are guided by data rather than user-parametrisation and expertise. The low computational cost of inference makes the approach particularly attractive for edge-based computing where predictive models could be deployed on low-power devices in the marine environment.
Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are evaluated with metrics such as the root-mean-square error (RMSE) and Pearson correlation coefficient. However, these classical metrics sometimes fail to capture crucial behavior. To show where the classical metrics are lacking, we trained a neural network, using a long short-term memory network, to make a forecast of the disturbance storm time index at origin time $t$ with a forecasting horizon of 1 up to 6 hours, trained on OMNIWeb data. Inspection of the models results with the correlation coefficient and RMSE indicated a performance comparable to the latest publications. However, visual inspection showed that the predictions made by the neural network were behaving similarly to the persistence model. In this work, a new method is proposed to measure whether two time series are shifted in time with respect to each other, such as the persistence model output versus the observation. The new measure, based on Dynamical Time Warping, is capable of identifying results made by the persistence model and shows promising results in confirming the visual observations of the neural networks output. Finally, different methodologies for training the neural network are explored in order to remove the persistence behavior from the results.
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