Bridging Breimans Brook: From Algorithmic Modeling to Statistical Learning


Abstract in English

In 2001, Leo Breiman wrote of a divide between data modeling and algorithmic modeling cultures. Twenty years later this division feels far more ephemeral, both in terms of assigning individuals to camps, and in terms of intellectual boundaries. We argue that this is largely due to the data modelers incorporating algorithmic methods into their toolbox, particularly driven by recent developments in the statistical understanding of Breimans own Random Forest methods. While this can be simplistically described as Breiman won, these same developments also expose the limitations of the prediction-first philosophy that he espoused, making careful statistical analysis all the more important. This paper outlines these exciting recent developments in the random forest literature which, in our view, occurred as a result of a necessary blending of the two ways of thinking Breiman originally described. We also ask what areas statistics and statisticians might currently overlook.

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