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Register a new userMethodology-centered review of molecular modeling, simulation, and prediction of SARS-CoV-2
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The deadly coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has gone out of control globally. Despite much effort by scientists, medical experts, and society in general, the slow progress on drug discovery and antibody therapeutic development, the unknown possible side effects of the existing vaccines, and the high transmission rate of the SARS-CoV-2, remind us of the sad reality that our current understanding of the transmission, infectivity, and evolution of SARS-CoV-2 is unfortunately very limited. The major limitation is the lack of mechanistic understanding of viral-host cell interactions, the viral regulation, protein-protein interactions, including antibody-antigen binding, protein-drug binding, host immune response, etc. This limitation will likely haunt the scientific community for a long time and have a devastating consequence in combating COVID-19 and other pathogens. Notably, compared to the long-cycle, highly cost, and safety-demanding molecular-level experiments, the theoretical and computational studies are economical, speedy, and easy to perform. There exists a tsunami of the literature on molecular modeling, simulation, and prediction of SARS-CoV-2 that has become impossible to fully be covered in a review. To provide the reader a quick update about the status of molecular modeling, simulation, and prediction of SARS-CoV-2, we present a comprehensive and systematic methodology-centered narrative in the nick of time. Aspects such as molecular modeling, Monte Carlo (MC) methods, structural bioinformatics, machine learning, deep learning, and mathematical approaches are included in this review. This review will be beneficial to researchers who are looking for ways to contribute to SARS-CoV-2 studies and those who are assessing the current status in the field.
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Despite the huge effort to contain the infection, the novel SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has rapidly become pandemics, mainly due to its extremely high human-to-human transmission capability, and a surprisingly high viral charge of symptom-less people. While the seek of a vaccine is still ongoing, promising results have been obtained with antiviral compounds. In particular, lactoferrin is found to have beneficial effects both in preventing and soothing the infection. Here, we explore the possible molecular mechanisms with which lactoferrin interferes with SARS-CoV-2 cell invasion, preventing attachment and/or entry of the virus. To this aim, we search for possible interactions lactoferrin may have with virus structural proteins and host receptors. Representing the molecular iso-electron surface of proteins in terms of 2D-Zernike descriptors, we (i) identified putative regions on the lactoferrin surface able to bind sialic acid receptors on the host cell membrane, sheltering the cell from the virus attachment; (ii) showed that no significant shape complementarity is present between lactoferrin and the ACE2 receptor, while (iii) two high complementarity regions are found on the N- and C-terminal domains of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, hinting at a possible competition between lactoferrin and ACE2 for the binding to the spike protein.
SARS-CoV-2 is what has caused the COVID-19 pandemic. Early viral infection is mediated by the SARS-CoV-2 homo-trimeric Spike (S) protein with its receptor binding domains (RBDs) in the receptor-accessible state. We performed molecular dynamics simulation on the S protein with a focus on the function of its N-terminal domains (NTDs). Our study reveals that the NTD acts as a wedge and plays a crucial regulatory role in the conformational changes of the S protein. The complete RBD structural transition is allowed only when the neighboring NTD that typically prohibits the RBDs movements as a wedge detaches and swings away. Based on this NTD wedge model, we propose that the NTD-RBD interface should be a potential drug target.
The recent global surge in COVID-19 infections has been fueled by new SARS-CoV-2 variants, namely Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, etc. The molecular mechanism underlying such surge is elusive due to 4,653 non-degenerate mutations on the spike protein, which is the target of most COVID-19 vaccines. The understanding of the molecular mechanism of transmission and evolution is a prerequisite to foresee the trend of emerging vaccine-breakthrough variants and the design of mutation-proof vaccines and monoclonal antibodies. We integrate the genotyping of 1,489,884 SARS-CoV-2 genomes isolates, 130 human antibodies, tens of thousands of mutational data points, topological data analysis, and deep learning to reveal SARS-CoV-2 evolution mechanism and forecast emerging vaccine-escape variants. We show that infectivity-strengthening and antibody-disruptive co-mutations on the S protein RBD can quantitatively explain the infectivity and virulence of all prevailing variants. We demonstrate that Lambda is as infectious as Delta but is more vaccine-resistant. We analyze emerging vaccine-breakthrough co-mutations in 20 countries, including the United Kingdom, the United States, Denmark, Brazil, and Germany, etc. We envision that natural selection through infectivity will continue to be the main mechanism for viral evolution among unvaccinated populations, while antibody disruptive co-mutations will fuel the future growth of vaccine-breakthrough variants among fully vaccinated populations. Finally, we have identified the co-mutations that have the great likelihood of becoming dominant: [A411S, L452R, T478K], [L452R, T478K, N501Y], [V401L, L452R, T478K], [K417N, L452R, T478K], [L452R, T478K, E484K, N501Y], and [P384L, K417N, E484K, N501Y]. We predict they, particularly the last four, will break through existing vaccines. We foresee an urgent need to develop new vaccines that target these co-mutations.
Currently, there is no effective antiviral drugs nor vaccine for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Due to its high conservativeness and low similarity with human genes, SARS-CoV-2 main protease (M$^{text{pro}}$) is one of the most favorable drug targets. However, the current understanding of the molecular mechanism of M$^{text{pro}}$ inhibition is limited by the lack of reliable binding affinity ranking and prediction of existing structures of M$^{text{pro}}$-inhibitor complexes. This work integrates mathematics and deep learning (MathDL) to provide a reliable ranking of the binding affinities of 92 SARS-CoV-2 M$^{text{pro}}$ inhibitor structures. We reveal that Gly143 residue in M$^{text{pro}}$ is the most attractive site to form hydrogen bonds, followed by Cys145, Glu166, and His163. We also identify 45 targeted covalent bonding inhibitors. Validation on the PDBbind v2016 core set benchmark shows the MathDL has achieved the top performance with Pearsons correlation coefficient ($R_p$) being 0.858. Most importantly, MathDL is validated on a carefully curated SARS-CoV-2 inhibitor dataset with the averaged $R_p$ as high as 0.751, which endows the reliability of the present binding affinity prediction. The present binding affinity ranking, interaction analysis, and fragment decomposition offer a foundation for future drug discovery efforts.
The SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) protein facilitates viral infection, and has been the focus of many structure determination efforts. This paper studies the conformations of loops in the S protein based on the available Protein Data Bank (PDB) structures. Loops, as flexible regions of the protein, are known to be involved in binding and can adopt multiple conformations. We identify the loop regions of the S protein, and examine their structural variability across the PDB. While most loops had essentially one stable conformation, 17 of 44 loop regions were observed to be structurally variable with multiple substantively distinct conformations. Loop modeling methods were then applied to the S protein loop targets, and loops with multiple conformations were found to be more challenging for the methods to predict accurately. Sequence variants and the up/down structural states of the receptor binding domain were also considered in the analysis.
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