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Simulation of first-passage times for alternating Brownian motions

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 Publication date 2021
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and research's language is English




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The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by an alternating renewal process. Bounds to the first-passage-time density and distribution function are obtained, and a simulation procedure to estimate first-passage-time densities is constructed. Examples of applications to problems in environmental sciences and mathematical finance are also provided.



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215 - Dongsheng Wu 2009
Let $B^{alpha_i}$ be an $(N_i,d)$-fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index ${alpha_i}$ ($i=1,2$), and let $B^{alpha_1}$ and $B^{alpha_2}$ be independent. We prove that, if $frac{N_1}{alpha_1}+frac{N_2}{alpha_2}>d$, then the intersection local times of $B^{alpha_1}$ and $B^{alpha_2}$ exist, and have a continuous version. We also establish H{o}lder conditions for the intersection local times and determine the Hausdorff and packing dimensions of the sets of intersection times and intersection points. One of the main motivations of this paper is from the results of Nualart and Ortiz-Latorre ({it J. Theor. Probab.} {bf 20} (2007)), where the existence of the intersection local times of two independent $(1,d)$-fractional Brownian motions with the same Hurst index was studied by using a different method. Our results show that anisotropy brings subtle differences into the analytic properties of the intersection local times as well as rich geometric structures into the sets of intersection times and intersection points.
In this paper we study first-passge percolation models on Delaunay triangulations. We show a sufficient condition to ensure that the asymptotic value of the rescaled first-passage time, called the time constant, is strictly positive and derive some upper bounds for fluctuations. Our proofs are based on renormalization ideas and on the method of bounded increments.
281 - Sean D Lawley 2019
Many events in biology are triggered when a diffusing searcher finds a target, which is called a first passage time (FPT). The overwhelming majority of FPT studies have analyzed the time it takes a single searcher to find a target. However, the more relevant timescale in many biological systems is the time it takes the fastest searcher(s) out of many searchers to find a target, which is called an extreme FPT. In this paper, we apply extreme value theory to find a tractable approximation for the full probability distribution of extreme FPTs of diffusion. This approximation can be easily applied in many diverse scenarios, as it depends on only a few properties of the short time behavior of the survival probability of a single FPT. We find this distribution by proving that a careful rescaling of extreme FPTs converges in distribution as the number of searchers grows. This limiting distribution is a type of Gumbel distribution and involves the LambertW function. This analysis yields new explicit formulas for approximations of statistics of extreme FPTs (mean, variance, moments, etc.) which are highly accurate and are accompanied by rigorous error estimates.
In this paper we prove exact forms of large deviations for local times and intersection local times of fractional Brownian motions and Riemann-Liouville processes. We also show that a fractional Brownian motion and the related Riemann-Liouville process behave like constant multiples of each other with regard to large deviations for their local and intersection local times. As a consequence of our large deviation estimates, we derive laws of iterated logarithm for the corresponding local times. The key points of our methods: (1) logarithmic superadditivity of a normalized sequence of moments of exponentially randomized local time of a fractional Brownian motion; (2) logarithmic subadditivity of a normalized sequence of moments of exponentially randomized intersection local time of Riemann-Liouville processes; (3) comparison of local and intersection local times based on embedding of a part of a fractional Brownian motion into the reproducing kernel Hilbert space of the Riemann-Liouville process.
107 - Sean D Lawley 2019
The time it takes the fastest searcher out of $Ngg1$ searchers to find a target determines the timescale of many physical, chemical, and biological processes. This time is called an extreme first passage time (FPT) and is typically much faster than the FPT of a single searcher. Extreme FPTs of diffusion have been studied for decades, but little is known for other types of stochastic processes. In this paper, we study the distribution of extreme FPTs of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). PDMPs are a broad class of stochastic processes that evolve deterministically between random events. Using classical extreme value theory, we prove general theorems which yield the distribution and moments of extreme FPTs in the limit of many searchers based on the short time distribution of the FPT of a single searcher. We then apply these theorems to some canonical PDMPs, including run and tumble searchers in one, two, and three space dimensions. We discuss our results in the context of some biological systems and show how our approach accounts for an unphysical property of diffusion which can be problematic for extreme statistics.
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