Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userMonitoring of Railpad Long-term Condition in Turnouts Using Extreme Value Distributions
174
0
0.0
(
0
)
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
The railpad is a key element in railway infrastructures that plays an essential role in the train-track dynamics. Presence of worn or defective railpads along railway track may lead to large wheel/rail interaction forces, and a high rate of deterioration for track components. Despite the importance of railpad, the track infrastructure managers use no inspection tool for monitoring in-service railpads over time. In this paper, a novel data-driven monitoring tool for long-term performance analysis of in-service railpads is developed based on train-induced vibration data collected by a track-side measurement system. The monitoring tool consists of a method for track resonance frequencies estimation, a temperature-frequency model for describing railpad behavior with respect to ambient temperature, and a generalized likelihood ratio test based on the generalized extreme value distribution for detecting changes in the railpad status over time. To evaluate the performance of the proposed monitoring system, the status of railpads at four different locations along a railway turnout is monitored over a period of 18 months. It is shown that the monitoring system can successfully detect changes in railpad properties over the considered period.
rate research
Read More
This study introduces a low-complexity behavioural model to describe the dynamic response of railway turnouts due to the ballast and railpad components. The behavioural model should serve as the basis for the future development of a supervisory system for the continuous monitoring of turnouts. A fourth order linear model is proposed based on spectral analysis of measured rail vertical accelerations gathered during a receptance test and it is then identified at several sections of the turnout applying the Eigensystem Realization Algorithm. The predictviness and robustness of the behavioural models have been assessed on a large data set of train passages differing for train type, speed and loading condition. Last, the need for a novel modeling method is argued in relation to high-fidelity mechanistic models widely used in the railway engineering community.
This paper develops a safety analysis method for stochastic systems that is sensitive to the possibility and severity of rare harmful outcomes. We define risk-sensitive safe sets as sub-level sets of the solution to a non-standard optimal control problem, where a random maximum cost is assessed using the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) functional. The solution to the control problem represents the maximum extent of constraint violation of the state trajectory, averaged over the $alphacdot 100$% worst cases, where $alpha in (0,1]$. This problem is well-motivated but difficult to solve in a tractable fashion because temporal decompositions for risk functionals generally depend on the history of the systems behavior. Our primary theoretical contribution is to derive under-approximations to risk-sensitive safe sets, which are computationally tractable. Our method provides a novel, theoretically guaranteed, parameter-dependent upper bound to the CVaR of a maximum cost without the need to augment the state space. For a fixed parameter value, the solution to only one Markov decision process problem is required to obtain the under-approximations for any family of risk-sensitivity levels. In addition, we propose a second definition for risk-sensitive safe sets and provide a tractable method for their estimation without using a parameter-dependent upper bound. The second definition is expressed in terms of a new coherent risk functional, which is inspired by CVaR. We demonstrate our primary theoretical contribution using numerical examples of a thermostatically controlled load system and a stormwater system.
Lithium-ion batteries are increasingly being deployed in liberalised electricity systems, where their use is driven by economic optimisation in a specific market context. However, battery degradation depends strongly on operational profile, and this is particularly variable in energy trading applications. Here, we present results from a year-long experiment where pairs of batteries were cycled with profiles calculated by solving an economic optimisation problem for wholesale energy trading, including a physically-motivated degradation model as a constraint. The results confirm the conclusions of previous simulations and show that this approach can increase revenue by 20% whilst simultaneously decreasing degradation by 30% compared to existing methods. Analysis of the data shows that conventional approaches cannot increase the number of cycles a battery can manage over its lifetime, but the physics-based approach increases the lifetime both in terms of years and number of cycles, as well as the revenue per year, increasing the possible lifetime revenue by 70%. Finally, the results demonstrate the economic impact of model inaccuracies, showing that the physics-based model can reduce the discrepancy in the overall business case from 170% to 13%. There is potential to unlock significant extra performance using control engineering incorporating physical models of battery ageing.
This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic system. This set is defined as a sublevel set of the solution to an optimal control problem that is expressed using the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) measure. This problem does not satisfy Bellmans Principle, thus our next contribution is to show how risk-sensitive safe sets can be under-approximated by the solution to a CVaR-Markov Decision Process. We adopt an existing value iteration algorithm to find an approximate solution to the reduced problem for a class of linear systems. Then, we develop a realistic numerical example of a stormwater system to show that this approach can be applied to non-linear systems. Finally, we compare the CVaR criterion to the exponential disutility criterion. The latter allocates control effort evenly across the cost distribution to reduce variance, while the CVaR criterion focuses control effort on a given worst-case quantile--where it matters most for safety.
Most renewable energy sources (RES) do not provide any inertial response. Their integration in a power grid implies a highly reduced level of system inertia, which leads to a deteriorated frequency performance. Then, the requirement for frequency response is significantly increased in order to maintain frequency security. Alternatively, enhanced provision of inertia from auxiliary sources may alleviate this problem. However, the benefits of inertia provision are not yet fully understood. In this paper, an inertia-dependent Stochastic Unit Commitment (SUC) tool is applied to quantify the economic value of inertia. The results demonstrate that enhanced provision of inertia would lead to significant economic savings, although these savings vary under different system conditions. These results should be brought to the attention of both market operators and investors, in order to inform the design of an ancillary-services market for inertia and the investment in auxiliary provision of inertia.
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
