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Register a new userRuin probabilities with investments: smoothness, IDE and ODE, asymptotic behavior
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Authors
Yuri Kabanov
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The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company having two business branches, life insurance and non-life insurance, invests its reserve into a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a geometric Brownian motion. We prove a result on smoothness of the ruin probability as a function of the initial capital and obtain for it an integro-differential equation understood in the classical sense. For the case of exponentially distributed jumps we show that the survival probability is a solution of an ordinary differential equation of the 4th order. Asymptotic analysis of the latter leads to the conclusion that the ruin probability decays to zero in the same way as in the already studied cases of models with one-side jumps.
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Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $sum_{i=1}^{infty} X_{i} prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov. Such quantities naturally arise in financial risk models. Each $X_{i}$ has a regularly varying tail. With sufficient conditions similar to those used by Denisov and Zwart (2007) imposed on these two sequences, and with certain suitably summable bounds similar to those proposed by Hazra and Maulik (2012), we explore the tail distribution of the random variable $sup_{n geq 1}sum_{i=1}^{n} X_i prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$. The sufficient conditions used will relax the moment conditions on the ${Y_{i}}$ sequence.
We give asymptotic analysis for probability of absorbtion $mathsf{P}(tau_0le T)$ on the interval $[0,T]$, where $ tau_0=inf{t:X_t=0}$ and $X_t$ is a nonnegative diffusion process relative to Brownian motion $B_t$, dX_t&=mu X_tdt+sigma X^gamma_tdB_t. X_0&=K>0 Diffusion parameter $sigma x^gamma$, $gammain [{1/2},1)$ is not Lipschitz continuous and assures $mathsf{P}(tau_0>T)>0$. Our main result: $$ limlimits_{Ktoinfty} frac{1}{K^{2(1-gamma)}}logmathsf{P}(tau_{0}le T) =-frac{1}{2E M^2_T}, $$ where $ M_T=int_0^Tsigma(1-gamma)e^{-(1-gamma)mu s}dB_s $. Moreover we describe the most likely path to absorbtion of the normed process $frac{X_t}{K}$ for $Ktoinfty$.
In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider f
This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently consider a regime in which the claim arrival intensity and transition rates of the environmental process are jointly sped up, and one in which there is (with overwhelming probability) maximally one transition of the environmental process in the time interval considered. The approximations are extensively tested in a series of numerical experiments.
We consider the classical Cramer-Lundberg risk model with claim sizes that are mixtures of phase-type and subexponential variables. Exploiting a specific geometric compound representation, we propose control variate techniques to efficiently simulate the ruin probability in this situation. The resulting estimators perform well for both small and large initial capital. We quantify the variance reduction as well as the efficiency gain of our method over another fast standard technique based on the classical Pollaczek-Khinchine formula. We provide a numerical example to illustrate the performance, and show that for more time-consuming conditional Monte Carlo techniques, the new series representation also does not compare unfavorably to the one based on the Pollaczek- Khinchine formula.
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