Massive black hole binary systems and the NANOGrav 12.5 year results


Abstract in English

The North American Nanohertz Observatory for Gravitational Waves (NANOGrav) has recently reported evidence for the presence of a common stochastic signal across their array of pulsars. The origin of this signal is still unclear. One of the possibilities is that it is due to a stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) in the $sim 1-10,{rm nHz}$ frequency region. Taking the NANOGrav observational result at face value, we show that this signal would be fully consistent with a SGWB produced by an unresolved population of in-spiralling massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) predicted by current theoretical models. Considering an astrophysically agnostic model we find that the MBHB merger rate is loosely constrained to the range $10^{-11} - 2$ $mathrm{Mpc}^{-3},mathrm{Gyr}^{-1}$. Including additional constraints from galaxy pairing fractions and MBH-bulge scaling relations, we find that the MBHB merger rate is $10^{-5} - 5times10^{-4}$ $mathrm{Mpc}^{-3},mathrm{Gyr}^{-1}$, the MBHB merger time-scale is $le 3,mathrm{Gyr}$ and the norm of the $M_mathrm{BH}-M_mathrm{bulge}$ relation $ge 1.2times 10^{8},M_odot$ (all intervals quoted at 90% confidence). Regardless of the astrophysical details of MBHB assembly, this result would imply that a sufficiently large population of massive black holes pair up, form binaries and merge within a Hubble time.

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