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Register a new userSSUE: Simultaneous State and Uncertainty Estimation for Dynamical Systems
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Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect the accuracy of state estimation. In this paper, we introduce SSUE: Simultaneous State and Uncertainty Estimation for quantifying parameter uncertainty while simultaneously estimating the internal state of a system. Our approach involves the development of a Bayesian framework that recursively updates the posterior joint density of the unknown state vector and parameter uncertainty. To execute the framework for practical implementation, we develop a computational algorithm based on maximum a posteriori estimation and the numerical Newtons method. Observability analysis is conducted for linear systems, and its relation with the consistency of the estimation of the uncertaintys location is unveiled. Additional simulation results are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed SSUE approach.
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We study the problem of designing interval-valued observers that simultaneously estimate the system state and learn an unknown dynamic model for partially unknown nonlinear systems with dynamic unknown inputs and bounded noise signals. Leveraging affine abstraction methods and the existence of nonlinear decomposition functions, as well as applying our previously developed data-driven function over-approximation/abstraction approach to over-estimate the unknown dynamic model, our proposed observer recursively computes the maximal and minimal elements of the estimate intervals that are proven to contain the true augmented states. Then, using observed output/measurement signals, the observer iteratively shrinks the intervals by eliminating estimates that are not compatible with the measurements. Finally, given new interval estimates, the observer updates the over-approximation of the unknown model dynamics. Moreover, we provide sufficient conditions for uniform boundedness of the sequence of estimate interval widths, i.e., stability of the designed observer, in the form of tractable (mixed-)integer programs with finitely countable feasible sets.
Estimating the occurrence of packet losses in a networked control systems (NCS) can be used to improve the control performance and to detect failures or cyber-attacks. This study considers simultaneous estimation of the plant state and the packet loss occurrences at each time step. After formulation of the problem, two solutions are proposed. In the first one, an input-output representation of the NCS model is used to design a recursive filter for estimation of the packet loss occurrences. This estimation is then used for state estimation through Kalman filtering. In the second solution, a state space model of NCS is used to design an estimator for both the plant state and the packet loss occurrences which employs a Kalman filter. The effectiveness of the solutions is shown during an example and comparisons are made between the proposed solutions and another solution based on the interacting multiple model estimation method.
In this paper, we propose fixed-order set-valued (in the form of l2-norm hyperballs) observers for some classes of nonlinear bounded-error dynamical systems with unknown input signals that simultaneously find bounded hyperballs of states and unknown inputs that include the true states and inputs. Necessary and sufficient conditions in the form of Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs) for the stability (in the sense of quadratic stability) of the proposed observers are derived for ($mathcal{M},gamma$)- Quadratically Constrained (($mathcal{M},gamma$)-QC) systems, which includes several classes of nonlinear systems: (I) Lipschitz continuous, (II) ($mathcal{A},gamma$)-QC* and (III) Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) systems. This new quadratic constraint property is at least as general as the incremental quadratic constraint property for nonlinear systems and is proven in the paper to embody a broad range of nonlinearities. In addition, we design the optimal $mathcal{H}_{infty}$ observer among those that satisfy the quadratic stability conditions and show that the design results in Uniformly Bounded-Input Bounded-State (UBIBS) estimate radii/error dynamics and uniformly bounded sequences of the estimate radii. Furthermore, we provide closed-form upper bound sequences for the estimate radii and sufficient condition for their convergence to steady state. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed set-valued observers is demonstrated through illustrative examples, where we compare the performance of our observers with some existing observers.
State and parameter estimation is essential for process monitoring and control. Observability plays an important role in both state and parameter estimation. In simultaneous state and parameter estimation, the parameters are often augmented as extra states of the original system. When the augmented system is observable, various existing state estimation approaches may be used to estimate the states and parameters simultaneously. However, when the augmented system is not observable, how we should proceed to maximally extract the information contained in the measured outputs is not clear. This paper concerns about simultaneous state and parameter estimation when the augmented system is not fully observable. Specifically, we first show how sensitivity analysis is related to observability of a dynamical system, and then illustrate how it may be used to select variables for simultaneous estimation. We also propose a moving horizon state estimation (MHE) design that can use the variable selection results in a natural way. Extensive simulations are carried out to show the efficiency of the proposed approach.
In this paper, we study the problem of designing a simultaneous mode, input, and state set-valued observer for a class of hidden mode switched nonlinear systems with bounded-norm noise and unknown input signals, where the hidden mode and unknown inputs can represent fault or attack models and exogenous fault/disturbance or adversarial signals, respectively. The proposed multiple-model design has three constituents: (i) a bank of mode-matched set-valued observers, (ii) a mode observer, and (iii) a global fusion observer. The mode-matched observers recursively find the sets of compatible states and unknown inputs conditioned on the mode being the true mode, while the mode observer eliminates incompatible modes by leveraging a residual-based criterion. Then, the global fusion observer outputs the estimated sets of states and unknown inputs by taking the union of the mode-matched set-valued estimates over all compatible modes. Moreover, sufficient conditions to guarantee the elimination of all false modes (i.e., mode-detectability) are provided and the effectiveness of our approach is demonstrated and compared with existing approaches using an illustrative example.
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