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Evolution of an asteroid family under YORP, Yarkovsky and collisions

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 Publication date 2020
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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Any population of asteroids, like asteroid families, will disperse in semi-major axis due to the Yarkovsky effect. The amount of drift is modulated by the asteroid spin state evolution which determines the balance between the diurnal and seasonal Yarkovsky force. The asteroids spin state is, in turn, controlled in part by the YORP effect. The otherwise smooth evolution of an asteroid can be abruptly altered by collisions, which can cause impulsive changes in the spin state and can move the asteroid onto a different YORP track. In addition, collisions may also alter the YORP parameters by changing the superficial features and overall shape of the asteroid. Thus, the coupling between YORP and Yarkovsky is also strongly affected by the impact history of each body. To investigate this coupling we developed a statistical code modeling the time evolution of semi--major axis under YORP-Yarkovsky coupling. It includes the contributions of NYORP (normal YORP), TYORP (tangential YORP) and collisions whose effects are deterministically calculated and not added in a statistical way. We find that both collisions and TYORP increase the dispersion of a family in semi-major axis by making the spin axis evolution less smooth and regular. We show that the evolution of a familys structure with time is complex and collisions randomize the YORP evolution. In our test families we do not observe the formation of a YORP-eye in the semi-major axis vs. diameter distribution, even after a long period of time. If present, the YORP-eye might be a relic of an initial ejection velocity pattern of the collisional fragments.

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65 - Yang-Bo Xu 2020
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The Clarissa family is a small collisional family composed of primitive C-type asteroids. It is located in a dynamically stable zone of the inner asteroid belt. In this work we determine the formation age of the Clarissa family by modeling planetary perturbations as well as thermal drift of family members due to the Yarkovsky effect. Simulations were carried out using the Swift-rmvs4 integrator modified to account for the Yarkovsky and Yarkovsky-OKeefe-Radzievskii-Paddack (YORP) effects. We ran multiple simulations starting with different ejection velocity fields of fragments, varying proportion of initially retrograde spins, and also tested different Yarkovsky/YORP models. Our goal was to match the observed orbital structure of the Clarissa family which is notably asymmetrical in the proper semimajor axis. The best fits were obtained with the initial ejection velocities < ~20 m/s of diameter D=2 km fragments, 4:1 preference for spin-up by YORP, and assuming that 80% of small family members initially had retrograde rotation. The age of the Clarissa family was found to be 56+/-6 Myr for the assumed asteroid density 1.5 g/cm3. Small variation of density to smaller or larger value would lead to slightly younger or older age estimates. This is the first case where the Yarkovsky effect chronology has been successfully applied to an asteroid family younger than 100 Myr.
The rotation states of small asteroids are affected by a net torque arising from an anisotropic sunlight reflection and thermal radiation from the asteroids surfaces. On long timescales, this so-called YORP effect can change asteroid spin directions and their rotation periods. We analyzed lightcurves of four selected near-Earth asteroids with the aim of detecting secular changes in their rotation rates that are caused by YORP. We use the lightcurve inversion method to model the observed lightcurves and include the change in the rotation rate $mathrm{d} omega / mathrm{d} t$ as a free parameter of optimization. We collected more than 70 new lightcurves. For asteroids Toro and Cacus, we used thermal infrared data from the WISE spacecraft and estimated their size and thermal inertia. We also used the currently available optical and radar astrometry of Toro, Ra-Shalom, and Cacus to infer the Yarkovsky effect. We detected a YORP acceleration of $mathrm{d}omega / mathrm{d} t = (1.9 pm 0.3) times 10^{-8},mathrm{rad},mathrm{d}^{-2}$ for asteroid Cacus. For Toro, we have a tentative ($2sigma$) detection of YORP from a significant improvement of the lightcurve fit for a nonzero value of $mathrm{d}omega / mathrm{d} t = 3.0 times 10^{-9},mathrm{rad},mathrm{d}^{-2}$. For asteroid Eger, we confirmed the previously published YORP detection with more data and updated the YORP value to $(1.1 pm 0.5) times 10^{-8},mathrm{rad},mathrm{d}^{-2}$. We also updated the shape model of asteroid Ra-Shalom and put an upper limit for the change of the rotation rate to $|mathrm{d}omega / mathrm{d} t| lesssim 1.5 times 10^{-8},mathrm{rad},mathrm{d}^{-2}$. Ra-Shalom has a greater than $3sigma$ Yarkovsky detection with a theoretical value consistent with observations assuming its size and/or density is slightly larger than the nominally expected values.
We assess the risk of an Earth impact for asteroid (99942) Apophis by means of a statistical analysis accounting for the uncertainty of both the orbital solution and the Yarkovsky effect. We select those observations with either rigorous uncertainty information provided by the observer or a high established accuracy. For the Yarkovsky effect we perform a Monte Carlo simulation that fully accounts for the uncertainty in the physical characterization, especially for the unknown spin orientation. By mapping the uncertainty information onto the 2029 b-plane and identifying the keyholes corresponding to subsequent impacts we assess the impact risk for future encounters. In particular, we find an impact probability greater than 10^-6 for an impact in 2068. We analyze the stability of the impact probability with respect to the assumptions on Apophis physical characterization and consider the possible effect of the early 2013 radar apparition.
An asteroid family is typically formed when a larger parent body undergoes a catastrophic collisional disruption, and as such family members are expected to show physical properties that closely trace the composition and mineralogical evolution of the parent. Recently a number of new datasets have been released that probe the physical properties of a large number of asteroids, many of which are members of identified families. We review these data sets and the composite properties of asteroid families derived from this plethora of new data. We also discuss the limitations of the current data, and the open questions in the field.
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