Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userModel Distillation for Revenue Optimization: Interpretable Personalized Pricing
337
0
0.0
(
0
)
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
Data-driven pricing strategies are becoming increasingly common, where customers are offered a personalized price based on features that are predictive of their valuation of a product. It is desirable for this pricing policy to be simple and interpretable, so it can be verified, checked for fairness, and easily implemented. However, efforts to incorporate machine learning into a pricing framework often lead to complex pricing policies which are not interpretable, resulting in slow adoption in practice. We present a customized, prescriptive tree-based algorithm that distills knowledge from a complex black-box machine learning algorithm, segments customers with similar valuations and prescribes prices in such a way that maximizes revenue while maintaining interpretability. We quantify the regret of a resulting policy and demonstrate its efficacy in applications with both synthetic and real-world datasets.
rate research
Read More
Many Machine Learning algorithms, such as deep neural networks, have long been criticized for being black-boxes-a kind of models unable to provide how it arrive at a decision without further efforts to interpret. This problem has raised concerns on model applications trust, safety, nondiscrimination, and other ethical issues. In this paper, we discuss the machine learning interpretability of a real-world application, eXtreme Multi-label Learning (XML), which involves learning models from annotated data with many pre-defined labels. We propose a two-step XML approach that combines deep non-negative autoencoder with other multi-label classifiers to tackle different data applications with a large number of labels. Our experimental result shows that the proposed approach is able to cope with many-label problems as well as to provide interpretable label hierarchies and dependencies that helps us understand how the model recognizes the existences of objects in an image.
Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs. Uplift modeling can be used to estimate which users are likely to benefit from a treatment and then prioritize delivering or promoting the preferred experience to those users. An important but so far neglected use case for uplift modeling is an experiment with multiple treatment groups that have different costs, such as for example when different communication channels and promotion types are tested simultaneously. In this paper, we extend standard uplift models to support multiple treatment groups with different costs. We evaluate the performance of the proposed models using both synthetic and real data. We also describe a production implementation of the approach.
In the recent decades, the advance of information technology and abundant personal data facilitate the application of algorithmic personalized pricing. However, this leads to the growing concern of potential violation of privacy due to adversarial attack. To address the privacy issue, this paper studies a dynamic personalized pricing problem with textit{unknown} nonparametric demand models under data privacy protection. Two concepts of data privacy, which have been widely applied in practices, are introduced: textit{central differential privacy (CDP)} and textit{local differential privacy (LDP)}, which is proved to be stronger than CDP in many cases. We develop two algorithms which make pricing decisions and learn the unknown demand on the fly, while satisfying the CDP and LDP gurantees respectively. In particular, for the algorithm with CDP guarantee, the regret is proved to be at most $tilde O(T^{(d+2)/(d+4)}+varepsilon^{-1}T^{d/(d+4)})$. Here, the parameter $T$ denotes the length of the time horizon, $d$ is the dimension of the personalized information vector, and the key parameter $varepsilon>0$ measures the strength of privacy (smaller $varepsilon$ indicates a stronger privacy protection). On the other hand, for the algorithm with LDP guarantee, its regret is proved to be at most $tilde O(varepsilon^{-2/(d+2)}T^{(d+1)/(d+2)})$, which is near-optimal as we prove a lower bound of $Omega(varepsilon^{-2/(d+2)}T^{(d+1)/(d+2)})$ for any algorithm with LDP guarantee.
Accurate and interpretable prediction of survey response rates is important from an operational standpoint. The US Census Bureaus well-known ROAM application uses principled statistical models trained on the US Census Planning Database data to identify hard-to-survey areas. An earlier crowdsourcing competition revealed that an ensemble of regression trees led to the best performance in predicting survey response rates; however, the corresponding models could not be adopted for the intended application due to limited interpretability. In this paper, we present new interpretable statistical methods to predict, with high accuracy, response rates in surveys. We study sparse nonparametric additive models with pairwise interactions via $ell_0$-regularization, as well as hierarchically structured variants that provide enhanced interpretability. Despite strong methodological underpinnings, such models can be computationally challenging -- we present new scalable algorithms for learning these models. We also establish novel non-asymptotic error bounds for the proposed estimators. Experiments based on the US Census Planning Database demonstrate that our methods lead to high-quality predictive models that permit actionable interpretability for different segments of the population. Interestingly, our methods provide significant gains in interpretability without losing in predictive performance to state-of-the-art black-box machine learning methods based on gradient boosting and feedforward neural networks. Our code implementation in python is available at https://github.com/ShibalIbrahim/Additive-Models-with-Structured-Interactions.
In this paper, we introduce a novel task for machine learning in healthcare, namely personalized modeling of the female hormonal cycle. The motivation for this work is to model the hormonal cycle and predict its phases in time, both for healthy individuals and for those with disorders of the reproductive system. Because there are individual differences in the menstrual cycle, we are particularly interested in personalized models that can account for individual idiosyncracies, towards identifying phenotypes of menstrual cycles. As a first step, we consider the hormonal cycle as a set of observations through time. We use a previously validated mechanistic model to generate realistic hormonal patterns, and experiment with Gaussian process regression to estimate their values over time. Specifically, we are interested in the feasibility of predicting menstrual cycle phases under varying learning conditions: number of cycles used for training, hormonal measurement noise and sampling rates, and informed vs. agnostic sampling of hormonal measurements. Our results indicate that Gaussian processes can help model the female menstrual cycle. We discuss the implications of our experiments in the context of modeling the female menstrual cycle.
suggested questions
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
