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Register a new userUncertainty Quantification Using Neural Networks for Molecular Property Prediction
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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable time and resources. The need for UQ is especially acute for neural models, which are becoming increasingly standard yet are challenging to interpret. While several approaches to UQ have been proposed in the literature, there is no clear consensus on the comparative performance of these models. In this paper, we study this question in the context of regression tasks. We systematically evaluate several methods on five benchmark datasets using multiple complementary performance metrics. Our experiments show that none of the methods we tested is unequivocally superior to all others, and none produces a particularly reliable ranking of errors across multiple datasets. While we believe these results show that existing UQ methods are not sufficient for all common use-cases and demonstrate the benefits of further research, we conclude with a practical recommendation as to which existing techniques seem to perform well relative to others.
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Molecule property prediction is a fundamental problem for computer-aided drug discovery and materials science. Quantum-chemical simulations such as density functional theory (DFT) have been widely used for calculating the molecule properties, however, because of the heavy computational cost, it is difficult to search a huge number of potential chemical compounds. Machine learning methods for molecular modeling are attractive alternatives, however, the development of expressive, accurate, and scalable graph neural networks for learning molecular representations is still challenging. In this work, we propose a simple and powerful graph neural networks for molecular property prediction. We model a molecular as a directed complete graph in which each atom has a spatial position, and introduce a recursive neural network with simple gating function. We also feed input embeddings for every layers as skip connections to accelerate the training. Experimental results show that our model achieves the state-of-the-art performance on the standard benchmark dataset for molecular property prediction.
The crux of molecular property prediction is to generate meaningful representations of the molecules. One promising route is to exploit the molecular graph structure through Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). It is well known that both atoms and bonds significantly affect the chemical properties of a molecule, so an expressive model shall be able to exploit both node (atom) and edge (bond) information simultaneously. Guided by this observation, we present Multi-View Graph Neural Network (MV-GNN), a multi-view message passing architecture to enable more accurate predictions of molecular properties. In MV-GNN, we introduce a shared self-attentive readout component and disagreement loss to stabilize the training process. This readout component also renders the whole architecture interpretable. We further boost the expressive power of MV-GNN by proposing a cross-dependent message passing scheme that enhances information communication of the two views, which results in the MV-GNN^cross variant. Lastly, we theoretically justify the expressiveness of the two proposed models in terms of distinguishing non-isomorphism graphs. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MV-GNN models achieve remarkably superior performance over the state-of-the-art models on a variety of challenging benchmarks. Meanwhile, visualization results of the node importance are consistent with prior knowledge, which confirms the interpretability power of MV-GNN models.
Molecular property prediction plays a fundamental role in drug discovery to discover candidate molecules with target properties. However, molecular property prediction is essentially a few-shot problem which makes it hard to obtain regular models. In this paper, we propose a property-aware adaptive relation networks (PAR) for the few-shot molecular property prediction problem. In comparison to existing works, we leverage the facts that both substructures and relationships among molecules are different considering various molecular properties. Our PAR is compatible with existing graph-based molecular encoders, and are further equipped with the ability to obtain property-aware molecular embedding and model molecular relation graph adaptively. The resultant relation graph also facilitates effective label propagation within each task. Extensive experiments on benchmark molecular property prediction datasets show that our method consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods and is able to obtain property-aware molecular embedding and model molecular relation graph properly.
We describe a novel neural network architecture for the prediction of ventricular tachyarrhythmias. The model receives input features that capture the change in RR intervals and ectopic beats, along with features based on heart rate variability and frequency analysis. Patient age is also included as a trainable embedding, while the whole network is optimized with multi-task objectives. Each of these modifications provides a consistent improvement to the model performance, achieving 74.02% prediction accuracy and 77.22% specificity 60 seconds in advance of the episode.
Absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) studies are critical for drug discovery. Conventionally, these tasks, together with other chemical property predictions, rely on domain-specific feature descriptors, or fingerprints. Following the recent success of neural networks, we developed Chemi-Net, a completely data-driven, domain knowledge-free, deep learning method for ADME property prediction. To compare the relative performance of Chemi-Net with Cubist, one of the popular machine learning programs used by Amgen, a large-scale ADME property prediction study was performed on-site at Amgen. The results showed that our deep neural network method improved current methods by a large margin. We foresee that the significantly increased accuracy of ADME prediction seen with Chemi-Net over Cubist will greatly accelerate drug discovery.
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