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Register a new userWASP-4 transit timing variation from a comprehensive set of 129 transits
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We homogeneously reanalyse $124$ transit light curves for the WASP-4 b hot Jupiter. This set involved new observations secured in 2019 and nearly all observations mentioned in the literature, including high-accuracy GEMINI/GMOS transmission spectroscopy of 2011-2014 and TESS observations of 2018. The analysis confirmed a nonlinear TTV trend with $P/|dot P|sim (17-30)$ Myr (1-sigma range), implying only half of the initial decay rate estimation. The trend significance is at least $3.4$-sigma in the agressively conservative treatment. Possible radial acceleration due to unseen companions is not revealed in Doppler data covering seven years 2007-2014, and radial acceleration of $-15$ m s$^{-1}$yr$^{-1}$ reported in a recent preprint by another team is not confirmed. If present, it is a very nonlinear RV variation. Assuming that the entire TTV is tidal in nature, the tidal quality factor $Q_starsim (4.5-8.5)cdot 10^4$ does not reveal a convincing disagreement with available theory predictions.
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Transits in the planetary system WASP-4 were recently found to occur 80s earlier than expected in observations from the TESS satellite. We present 22 new times of mid-transit that confirm the existence of transit timing variations, and are well fitted by a quadratic ephemeris with period decay dP/dt = -9.2 +/- 1.1 ms/yr. We rule out instrumental issues, stellar activity and the Applegate mechanism as possible causes. The light-time effect is also not favoured due to the non-detection of changes in the systemic velocity. Orbital decay and apsidal precession are plausible but unproven. WASP-4b is only the third hot Jupiter known to show transit timing variations to high confidence. We discuss a variety of observations of this and other planetary systems that would be useful in improving our understanding of WASP-4 in particular and orbital decay in general.
Transit timing analysis may be an effective method of discovering additional bodies in extrasolar systems which harbour transiting exoplanets. The deviations from the Keplerian motion, caused by mutual gravitational interactions between planets, are expected to generate transit timing variations of transiting exoplanets. In 2009 we collected 9 light curves of 8 transits of the exoplanet WASP-10b. Combining these data with published ones, we found that transit timing cannot be explained by a constant period but by a periodic variation. Simplified three-body models which reproduce the observed variations of timing residuals were identified by numerical simulations. We found that the configuration with an additional planet of mass of $sim$0.1 $M_{rm{J}}$ and orbital period of $sim$5.23 d, located close to the outer 5:3 mean motion resonance, is the most likely scenario. If the second planet is a transiter, the estimated flux drop will be $sim$0.3 per cent and can be observable with a ground-based telescope. Moreover, we present evidence that the spots on the stellar surface and rotation of the star affect the radial velocity curve giving rise to spurious eccentricity of the orbit of the first planet. We argue that the orbit of WASP-10b is essentially circular. Using the gyrochronology method, the host star was found to be $270 pm 80$ Myr old. This young age can explain the large radius reported for WASP-10b.
Photometric follow-ups of transiting exoplanets (TEPs) may lead to discoveries of additional, less massive bodies in extrasolar systems. This is possible by detecting and then analysing variations in transit timing of transiting exoplanets. In 2009 we launched an international observing campaign, the aim of which is to detect and characterise signals of transit timing variation (TTV) in selected TEPs. The programme is realised by collecting data from 0.6--2.2-m telescopes spread worldwide at different longitudes. We present our observing strategy and summarise first results for WASP-3b with evidence for a 15 Earth-mass perturber in an outer 2:1 orbital resonance.
Transit timing variations provide a powerful tool for confirming and characterizing transiting planets, as well as detecting non-transiting planets. We report the results an updated TTV analysis for 1481 planet candidates (Borucki et al. 2011; Batalha et al. 2012) based on transit times measured during the first sixteen months of Kepler observations. We present 39 strong TTV candidates based on long-term trends (2.8% of suitable data sets). We present another 136 weaker TTV candidates (9.8% of suitable data sets) based on excess scatter of TTV measurements about a linear ephemeris. We anticipate that several of these planet candidates could be confirmed and perhaps characterized with more detailed TTV analyses using publicly available Kepler observations. For many others, Kepler has observed a long-term TTV trend, but an extended Kepler mission will be required to characterize the system via TTVs. We find that the occurrence rate of planet candidates that show TTVs is significantly increased (~68%) for planet candidates transiting stars with multiple transiting planet candidate when compared to planet candidates transiting stars with a single transiting planet candidate.
We present twelve new transit light curves of the hot-Jupiter TrES-3b observed during $2012-2018$ to probe the transit timing variation (TTV). By combining the mid-transit times determined from these twelve transit data with those re-estimated through uniform procedure from seventy one transit data available in the literature, we derive new linear ephemeris and obtain the timing residuals that suggest the possibility of TTV in TrES-3 system. However, the frequency analysis shows that the possible TTV is unlikely to be periodic, indicating the absence of an additional body in this system. To explore the other possible origins of TTV, the orbital decay and apsidal precession ephemeris models are fitted to the transit time data. We find decay rate of TrES-3b to be $bf dot{P_q}= -4.1 pm 3.1$ $ms$ ${yr}^{-1}$ and the corresponding estimated modified tidal quality factor of ${Q}^{}_{ast}$ $sim 1.11 times {10}^{5}$ is consistent with the theoretically predicted values for the stars hosting the hot-Jupiters. The shift in the transit arrival time of TrES-3b after eleven years is expected to be ${T}_{shift}sim 69.55 s$, which is consistent with the $RMS$ of the timing residuals. Besides, we find that the apsidal precession ephemeris model is statistically less probable than the other considered ephemeris models. It is also discussed that despite the linear ephemeris model appears to be the most plausible model to represent the transit time data, the possibility of the orbital decay cannot be completely ruled out in TrES-3 system. In order to confirm this, further high-precision and high-cadence follow-up observation of transits of TrES-3b would be important.
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