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Accurate Machine Learning Atmospheric Retrieval via a Neural Network Surrogate Model for Radiative Transfer

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 Added by Michael Himes
 Publication date 2020
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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Atmospheric retrieval determines the properties of an atmosphere based on its measured spectrum. The low signal-to-noise ratio of exoplanet observations require a Bayesian approach to determine posterior probability distributions of each model parameter, given observed spectra. This inference is computationally expensive, as it requires many executions of a costly radiative transfer (RT) simulation for each set of sampled model parameters. Machine learning (ML) has recently been shown to provide a significant reduction in runtime for retrievals, mainly by training inverse ML models that predict parameter distributions, given observed spectra, albeit with reduced posterior accuracy. Here we present a novel approach to retrieval by training a forward ML surrogate model that predicts spectra given model parameters, providing a fast approximate RT simulation that can be used in a conventional Bayesian retrieval framework without significant loss of accuracy. We demonstrate our method on the emission spectrum of HD 189733 b and find good agreement with a traditional retrieval from the Bayesian Atmospheric Radiative Transfer (BART) code (Bhattacharyya coefficients of 0.9843--0.9972, with a mean of 0.9925, between 1D marginalized posteriors). This accuracy comes while still offering significant speed enhancements over traditional RT, albeit not as much as ML methods with lower posterior accuracy. Our method is ~9x faster per parallel chain than BART when run on an AMD EPYC 7402P central processing unit (CPU). Neural-network computation using an NVIDIA Titan Xp graphics processing unit is 90--180x faster per chain than BART on that CPU.



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This and companion papers by Harrington et al. and Blecic et al. present the Bayesian Atmospheric Radiative Transfer ({BART}) code, an open-source, open-development package to characterize extrasolar-planet atmospheres. {BART} combines a thermochemical equilibrium abundances ({TEA}), a radiative-transfer ({transit}), and a Bayesian statistical (MC3) module to constrain atmospheric temperatures and molecular abundances for given spectroscopic observations. Here, we describe the {transit} radiative-transfer package, an efficient line-by-line radiative-transfer C code for one-dimensional atmospheres, developed by P. Rojo and further modified by the UCF exoplanet group. This code produces transmission and hemisphere-integrated emission spectra. {transit} handles line-by-line opacities from HITRAN, Partridge & Schwenke ({water}), Schwenke (TiO), and Plez (VO); and collision-induced absorption from Borysow, HITRAN, and ExoMol. {transit} emission-spectra models agree with models from C. Morley (priv. comm.) within a few percent. We applied {BART} to the {Spitzer} and {Hubble} transit observations of the Neptune-sized planet HAT-P-11b. Our results generally agree with those from previous studies, constraining the {water} abundance and finding an atmosphere enhanced in heavy elements. Different conclusions start to emerge when we make different assumptions from other studies. The {BART} source code and documentation are available at https://github.com/exosports/BART.
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