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Dynamics and Spreading Speed of a Reaction-Diffusion System with Advection Modeling West Nile Virus

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 Added by Chengcheng Cheng
 Publication date 2020
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and research's language is English




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This paper aims to explore the temporal-spatial spreading and asymptotic behaviors of West Nile virus by a reaction-advection-diffusion system with free boundaries, especially considering the impact of advection term on the extinction and persistence of West Nile virus. We define the spatial-temporal risk index $R^{F}_{0}(t)$ with the advection rate and the general basic disease reproduction number $R^D_0$ to get the vanishing-spreading dichotomy regimes of West Nile virus. We show that there exists a threshold value $mu^{*}$ of the advection rate, and obtain the threshold results of it. When the spreading occurs, we investigate the asymptotic dynamical behaviors of the solution in the long run and first give a sharper estimate that the asymptotic spreading speed of the leftward front is less than the rightward front for $0<mu<mu^*$. At last, we give some numerical simulations to identify the significant effects of the advection.



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In current paper, we put forward a reaction-diffusion system for West Nile virus in spatial heterogeneous and time almost periodic environment with free boundaries to investigate the influences of the habitat differences and seasonal variations on the propagation of West Nile virus. The existence, uniqueness and regularity estimates of the global solution for this disease model are given. Focused on the effects of spatial heterogeneity and time almost periodicity, we apply the principal Lyapunov exponent $lambda(t)$ with time $t$ to get the initial infected domain threshold $L^*$ to analyze the long-time dynamical behaviors of the solution for this almost periodic West Nile virus model and give the spreading-vanishing dichotomy regimes of the disease. Especially, we prove that the solution for this West Nile virus model converges to a time almost periodic function locally uniformly for $x$ in $mathbb R$ when the spreading occurs, which is driven by spatial differences and seasonal recurrence. Moreover, the initial disease infected domain and the front expanding rate have momentous impacts on the permanence and extinction of the epidemic disease. Eventually, numerical simulations identify our theoretical results.
Invasion phenomena for heterogeneous reaction-diffusion equations are contemporary and challenging questions in applied mathematics. In this paper we are interested in the question of spreading for a reaction-diffusion equation when the subdomain where the reaction term is positive is shifting/contracting at a given speed $c$. This problem arises in particular in the modelling of the impact of climate change on population dynamics. By placing ourselves in the appropriate moving frame, this leads us to consider a reaction-diffusion-advection equation with a heterogeneous in space reaction term, in dimension $Ngeq1$. We investigate the behaviour of the solution $u$ depending on the value of the advection constant~$c$, which typically stands for the velocity of climate change. We find that, when the initial datum is compactly supported, there exists precisely three ranges for $c$ leading to drastically different situations. In the lower speed range the solution always spreads, while in the upper range it always vanishes. More surprisingly, we find that that both spreading and vanishing may occur in an intermediate speed range. The threshold between those two outcomes is always sharp, both with respect to $c$ and to the initial condition. We also briefly consider the case of an exponentially decreasing initial condition, where we relate the decreasing rate of the initial condition with the range of values of~$c$ such that spreading occurs.
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