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Register a new userConsumer-Driven Explanations for Machine Learning Decisions: An Empirical Study of Robustness
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Added by
Michael Hind
Publication date
2020
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Many proposed methods for explaining machine learning predictions are in fact challenging to understand for nontechnical consumers. This paper builds upon an alternative consumer-driven approach called TED that asks for explanations to be provided in training data, along with target labels. Using semi-synthetic data from credit approval and employee retention applications, experiments are conducted to investigate some practical considerations with TED, including its performance with different classification algorithms, varying numbers of explanations, and variability in explanations. A new algorithm is proposed to handle the case where some training examples do not have explanations. Our results show that TED is robust to increasing numbers of explanations, noisy explanations, and large fractions of missing explanations, thus making advances toward its practical deployment.
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Kearns et al. [2018] recently proposed a notion of rich subgroup fairness intended to bridge the gap between statistical and individual notions of fairness. Rich subgroup fairness picks a statistical fairness constraint (say, equalizing false positive rates across protected groups), but then asks that this constraint hold over an exponentially or infinitely large collection of subgroups defined by a class of functions with bounded VC dimension. They give an algorithm guaranteed to learn subject to this constraint, under the condition that it has access to oracles for perfectly learning absent a fairness constraint. In this paper, we undertake an extensive empirical evaluation of the algorithm of Kearns et al. On four real datasets for which fairness is a concern, we investigate the basic convergence of the algorithm when instantiated with fast heuristics in place of learning oracles, measure the tradeoffs between fairness and accuracy, and compare this approach with the recent algorithm of Agarwal et al. [2018], which implements weaker and more traditional marginal fairness constraints defined by individual protected attributes. We find that in general, the Kearns et al. algorithm converges quickly, large gains in fairness can be obtained with mild costs to accuracy, and that optimizing accuracy subject only to marginal fairness leads to classifiers with substantial subgroup unfairness. We also provide a number of analyses and visualizations of the dynamics and behavior of the Kearns et al. algorithm. Overall we find this algorithm to be effective on real data, and rich subgroup fairness to be a viable notion in practice.
The black-box nature of machine learning models hinders the deployment of some high-accuracy models in medical diagnosis. It is risky to put ones life in the hands of models that medical researchers do not fully understand. However, through model interpretation, black-box models can promptly reveal significant biomarkers that medical practitioners may have overlooked due to the surge of infected patients in the COVID-19 pandemic. This research leverages a database of 92 patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 laboratory tests between 18th Jan. 2020 and 5th Mar. 2020, in Zhuhai, China, to identify biomarkers indicative of severity prediction. Through the interpretation of four machine learning models, decision tree, random forests, gradient boosted trees, and neural networks using permutation feature importance, Partial Dependence Plot (PDP), Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE), Accumulated Local Effects (ALE), Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), and Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP), we identify an increase in N-Terminal pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NTproBNP), C-Reaction Protein (CRP), and lactic dehydrogenase (LDH), a decrease in lymphocyte (LYM) is associated with severe infection and an increased risk of death, which is consistent with recent medical research on COVID-19 and other research using dedicated models. We further validate our methods on a large open dataset with 5644 confirmed patients from the Hospital Israelita Albert Einstein, at S~ao Paulo, Brazil from Kaggle, and unveil leukocytes, eosinophils, and platelets as three indicative biomarkers for COVID-19.
The input space of a neural network with ReLU-like activations is partitioned into multiple linear regions, each corresponding to a specific activation pattern of the included ReLU-like activations. We demonstrate that this partition exhibits the following encoding properties across a variety of deep learning models: (1) {it determinism}: almost every linear region contains at most one training example. We can therefore represent almost every training example by a unique activation pattern, which is parameterized by a {it neural code}; and (2) {it categorization}: according to the neural code, simple algorithms, such as $K$-Means, $K$-NN, and logistic regression, can achieve fairly good performance on both training and test data. These encoding properties surprisingly suggest that {it normal neural networks well-trained for classification behave as hash encoders without any extra efforts.} In addition, the encoding properties exhibit variability in different scenarios. {Further experiments demonstrate that {it model size}, {it training time}, {it training sample size}, {it regularization}, and {it label noise} contribute in shaping the encoding properties, while the impacts of the first three are dominant.} We then define an {it activation hash phase chart} to represent the space expanded by {model size}, training time, training sample size, and the encoding properties, which is divided into three canonical regions: {it under-expressive regime}, {it critically-expressive regime}, and {it sufficiently-expressive regime}. The source code package is available at url{https://github.com/LeavesLei/activation-code}.
Existing interpretation algorithms have found that, even deep models make the same and right predictions on the same image, they might rely on different sets of input features for classification. However, among these sets of features, some common features might be used by the majority of models. In this paper, we are wondering what are the common features used by various models for classification and whether the models with better performance may favor those common features. For this purpose, our works uses an interpretation algorithm to attribute the importance of features (e.g., pixels or superpixels) as explanations, and proposes the cross-model consensus of explanations to capture the common features. Specifically, we first prepare a set of deep models as a committee, then deduce the explanation for every model, and obtain the consensus of explanations across the entire committee through voting. With the cross-model consensus of explanations, we conduct extensive experiments using 80+ models on 5 datasets/tasks. We find three interesting phenomena as follows: (1) the consensus obtained from image classification models is aligned with the ground truth of semantic segmentation; (2) we measure the similarity of the explanation result of each model in the committee to the consensus (namely consensus score), and find positive correlations between the consensus score and model performance; and (3) the consensus score coincidentally correlates to the interpretability.
Tuning machine learning models with Bayesian optimization (BO) is a successful strategy to find good hyperparameters. BO defines an iterative procedure where a cross-validated metric is evaluated on promising hyperparameters. In practice, however, an improvement of the validation metric may not translate in better predictive performance on a test set, especially when tuning models trained on small datasets. In other words, unlike conventional wisdom dictates, BO can overfit. In this paper, we carry out the first systematic investigation of overfitting in BO and demonstrate that this issue is serious, yet often overlooked in practice. We propose a novel criterion to early stop BO, which aims to maintain the solution quality while saving the unnecessary iterations that can lead to overfitting. Experiments on real-world hyperparameter optimization problems show that our approach effectively meets these goals and is more adaptive comparing to baselines.
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