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In this article we demonstrate how graph theory can be used to identify those stations in the London underground network which have the greatest influence on the functionality of the traffic, and proceed, in an innovative way, to assess the impact of a station closure on service levels across the city. Such underground network vulnerability analysis offers the opportunity to analyse, optimize and enhance the connectivity of the London underground network in a mathematically tractable and physically meaningful manner.
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A unifying graph theoretic framework for the modelling of metro transportation networks is proposed. This is achieved by first introducing a basic graph framework for the modelling of the London underground system from a diffusion law point of view. This forms a basis for the analysis of both station importance and their vulnerability, whereby the concept of graph vertex centrality plays a key role. We next explore k-edge augmentation of a graph topology, and illustrate its usefulness both for improving the network robustness and as a planning tool. Upon establishing the graph theoretic attributes of the underlying graph topology, we proceed to introduce models for processing data on such a metro graph. Commuter movement is shown to obey the Ficks law of diffusion, where the graph Laplacian provides an analytical model for the diffusion process of commuter population dynamics. Finally, we also explore the application of modern deep learning models, such as graph neural networks and hyper-graph neural networks, as general purpose models for the modelling and forecasting of underground data, especially in the context of the morning and evening rush hours. Comprehensive simulations including the passenger in- and out-flows during the morning rush hour in London demonstrates the advantages of the graph models in metro planning and traffic management, a formal mathematical approach with wide economic implications.
Traffic flow prediction, particularly in areas that experience highly dynamic flows such as motorways, is a major issue faced in traffic management. Due to increasingly large volumes of data sets being generated every minute, deep learning methods have been used extensively in the latest years for both short and long term prediction. However, such models, despite their efficiency, need large amounts of historical information to be provided, and they take a considerable amount of time and computing resources to train, validate and test. This paper presents two new spatial-temporal approaches for building accurate short-term prediction along a popular motorway in Sydney, by making use of the graph structure of the motorway network (including exits and entries). The methods are built on proximity-based approaches, denoted backtracking and interpolation, which uses the most recent and closest traffic flow information for each of the target counting stations along the motorway. The results indicate that for short-term predictions (less than 10 minutes into the future), the proposed graph-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art deep learning models, such as long-term short memory, convolutional neuronal networks or hybrid models.
A unitary shift operator (GSO) for signals on a graph is introduced, which exhibits the desired property of energy preservation over both backward and forward graph shifts. For rigour, the graph differential operator is also derived in an analytical form. The commutativity relation of the shift operator with the Fourier transform is next explored in conjunction with the proposed GSO to introduce a graph discrete Fourier transform (GDFT) which, unlike existing approaches, ensures the orthogonality of GDFT bases and admits a natural frequency-domain interpretation. The proposed GDFT is shown to allow for a coherent definition of the graph discrete Hilbert transform (GDHT) and the graph analytic signal. The advantages of the proposed GSO are demonstrated through illustrative examples.
A class of doubly stochastic graph shift operators (GSO) is proposed, which is shown to exhibit: (i) lower and upper $L_{2}$-boundedness for locally stationary random graph signals; (ii) $L_{2}$-isometry for textit{i.i.d.} random graph signals with the asymptotic increase in the incoming neighbourhood size of vertices; and (iii) preservation of the mean of any graph signal. These properties are obtained through a statistical consistency analysis of the graph shift, and by exploiting the dual role of the doubly stochastic GSO as a Markov (diffusion) matrix and as an unbiased expectation operator. Practical utility of the class of doubly stochastic GSOs is demonstrated in a real-world multi-sensor signal filtering setting.
Measuring network flow sizes is important for tasks like accounting/billing, network forensics and security. Per-flow accounting is considered hard because it requires that many counters be updated at a very high speed; however, the large fast memories needed for storing the counters are prohibitively expensive. Therefore, current approaches aim to obtain approximate flow counts; that is, to detect large elephant flows and then measure their sizes. Recently the authors and their collaborators have developed [1] a novel method for per-flow traffic measurement that is fast, highly memory efficient and accurate. At the core of this method is a novel counter architecture called counter braids. In this paper, we analyze the performance of the counter braid architecture under a Maximum Likelihood (ML) flow size estimation algorithm and show that it is optimal; that is, the number of bits needed to store the size of a flow matches the entropy lower bound. While the ML algorithm is optimal, it is too complex to implement. In [1] we have developed an easy-to-implement and efficient message passing algorithm for estimating flow sizes.
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