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This paper proposes a new estimator for selecting weights to average over least squares estimates obtained from a set of models. Our proposed estimator builds on the Mallows model average (MMA) estimator of Hansen (2007), but, unlike MMA, simultaneously controls for location bias and regression error through a common constant. We show that our proposed estimator-- the mean-shift Mallows model average (MSA) estimator-- is asymptotically optimal to the original MMA estimator in terms of mean squared error. A simulation study is presented, where we show that our proposed estimator uniformly outperforms the MMA estimator.
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This paper proposes the capped least squares regression with an adaptive resistance parameter, hence the name, adaptive capped least squares regression. The key observation is, by taking the resistant parameter to be data dependent, the proposed estimator achieves full asymptotic efficiency without losing the resistance property: it achieves the maximum breakdown point asymptotically. Computationally, we formulate the proposed regression problem as a quadratic mixed integer programming problem, which becomes computationally expensive when the sample size gets large. The data-dependent resistant parameter, however, makes the loss function more convex-like for larger-scale problems. This makes a fast randomly initialized gradient descent algorithm possible for global optimization. Numerical examples indicate the superiority of the proposed estimator compared with classical methods. Three data applications to cancer cell lines, stationary background recovery in video surveillance, and blind image inpainting showcase its broad applicability.
We consider a resampling scheme for parameters estimates in nonlinear regression models. We provide an estimation procedure which recycles, via random weighting, the relevant parameters estimates to construct consistent estimates of the sampling distribution of the various estimates. We establish the asymptotic normality of the resampled estimates and demonstrate the applicability of the recycling approach in a small simulation study and via example.
This paper studies linear convergence of the subspace constrained mean shift (SCMS) algorithm, a well-known algorithm for identifying a density ridge defined by a kernel density estimator. By arguing that the SCMS algorithm is a special variant of a subspace constrained gradient ascent (SCGA) algorithm with an adaptive step size, we derive linear convergence of such SCGA algorithm. While the existing research focuses mainly on density ridges in the Euclidean space, we generalize density ridges and the SCMS algorithm to directional data. In particular, we establish the stability theorem of density ridges with directional data and prove the linear convergence of our proposed directional SCMS algorithm.
We propose a generalization of the linear panel quantile regression model to accommodate both textit{sparse} and textit{dense} parts: sparse means while the number of covariates available is large, potentially only a much smaller number of them have a nonzero impact on each conditional quantile of the response variable; while the dense part is represent by a low-rank matrix that can be approximated by latent factors and their loadings. Such a structure poses problems for traditional sparse estimators, such as the $ell_1$-penalised Quantile Regression, and for traditional latent factor estimator, such as PCA. We propose a new estimation procedure, based on the ADMM algorithm, consists of combining the quantile loss function with $ell_1$ textit{and} nuclear norm regularization. We show, under general conditions, that our estimator can consistently estimate both the nonzero coefficients of the covariates and the latent low-rank matrix. Our proposed model has a Characteristics + Latent Factors Asset Pricing Model interpretation: we apply our model and estimator with a large-dimensional panel of financial data and find that (i) characteristics have sparser predictive power once latent factors were controlled (ii) the factors and coefficients at upper and lower quantiles are different from the median.
One of the major concerns of targeting interventions on individuals in social welfare programs is discrimination: individualized treatments may induce disparities on sensitive attributes such as age, gender, or race. This paper addresses the question of the design of fair and efficient treatment allocation rules. We adopt the non-maleficence perspective of first do no harm: we propose to select the fairest allocation within the Pareto frontier. We provide envy-freeness justifications to novel counterfactual notions of fairness. We discuss easy-to-implement estimators of the policy function, by casting the optimization into a mixed-integer linear program formulation. We derive regret bounds on the unfairness of the estimated policy function, and small sample guarantees on the Pareto frontier. Finally, we illustrate our method using an application from education economics.
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