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We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems when processing discrete-time inputs under various hypotheses on their dependence structure. Non-asymptotic bounds are explicitly written down in terms of the multivariate Rademacher complexities of the reservoir systems and the weak dependence structure of the signals that are being handled. This allows, in particular, to determine the minimal number of observations needed in order to guarantee a prescribed estimation accuracy with high probability for a given reservoir family. At the same time, the asymptotic behavior of the devised bounds guarantees the consistency of the empirical risk minimization procedure for various hypothesis classes of reservoir functionals.
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The vicinal risk minimization (VRM) principle, first proposed by citet{vapnik1999nature}, is an empirical risk minimization (ERM) variant that replaces Dirac masses with vicinal functions. Although there is strong numerical evidence showing that VRM outperforms ERM if appropriate vicinal functions are chosen, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of VRM is still lacking. In this paper, we study the generalization bounds for VRM. Our results support Vapniks original arguments and additionally provide deeper insights into VRM. First, we prove that the complexity of function classes convolving with vicinal functions can be controlled by that of the original function classes under the assumption that the function class is composed of Lipschitz-continuous functions. Then, the resulting generalization bounds for VRM suggest that the generalization performance of VRM is also effected by the choice of vicinity function and the quality of function classes. These findings can be used to examine whether the choice of vicinal function is appropriate for the VRM-based learning setting. Finally, we provide a theoretical explanation for existing VRM models, e.g., uniform distribution-based models, Gaussian distribution-based models, and mixup models.
Reservoir computing is a best-in-class machine learning algorithm for processing information generated by dynamical systems using observed time-series data. Importantly, it requires very small training data sets, uses linear optimization, and thus requires minimal computing resources. However, the algorithm uses randomly sampled matrices to define the underlying recurrent neural network and has a multitude of metaparameters that must be optimized. Recent results demonstrate the equivalence of reservoir computing to nonlinear vector autoregression, which requires no random matrices, fewer metaparameters, and provides interpretable results. Here, we demonstrate that nonlinear vector autoregression excels at reservoir computing benchmark tasks and requires even shorter training data sets and training time, heralding the next generation of reservoir computing.
Reservoir Computing (RC) refers to a Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) framework, frequently used for sequence learning and time series prediction. The RC system consists of a random fixed-weight RNN (the input-hidden reservoir layer) and a classifier (the hidden-output readout layer). Here we focus on the sequence learning problem, and we explore a different approach to RC. More specifically, we remove the non-linear neural activation function, and we consider an orthogonal reservoir acting on normalized states on the unit hypersphere. Surprisingly, our numerical results show that the systems memory capacity exceeds the dimensionality of the reservoir, which is the upper bound for the typical RC approach based on Echo State Networks (ESNs). We also show how the proposed system can be applied to symmetric cryptography problems, and we include a numerical implementation.
There is a wave of interest in using unsupervised neural networks for solving differential equations. The existing methods are based on feed-forward networks, {while} recurrent neural network differential equation solvers have not yet been reported. We introduce an unsupervised reservoir computing (RC), an echo-state recurrent neural network capable of discovering approximate solutions that satisfy ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We suggest an approach to calculate time derivatives of recurrent neural network outputs without using backpropagation. The internal weights of an RC are fixed, while only a linear output layer is trained, yielding efficient training. However, RC performance strongly depends on finding the optimal hyper-parameters, which is a computationally expensive process. We use Bayesian optimization to efficiently discover optimal sets in a high-dimensional hyper-parameter space and numerically show that one set is robust and can be used to solve an ODE for different initial conditions and time ranges. A closed-form formula for the optimal output weights is derived to solve first order linear equations in a backpropagation-free learning process. We extend the RC approach by solving nonlinear system of ODEs using a hybrid optimization method consisting of gradient descent and Bayesian optimization. Evaluation of linear and nonlinear systems of equations demonstrates the efficiency of the RC ODE solver.
Machine learning approaches have recently been leveraged as a substitute or an aid for physical/mathematical modeling approaches to dynamical systems. To develop an efficient machine learning method dedicated to modeling and prediction of multiscale dynamics, we propose a reservoir computing model with diverse timescales by using a recurrent network of heterogeneous leaky integrator neurons. In prediction tasks with fast-slow chaotic dynamical systems including a large gap in timescales of their subsystems dynamics, we demonstrate that the proposed model has a higher potential than the existing standard model and yields a performance comparable to the best one of the standard model even without an optimization of the leak rate parameter. Our analysis reveals that the timescales required for producing each component of target dynamics are appropriately and flexibly selected from the reservoir dynamics by model training.
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