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Planck 2018 results. V. CMB power spectra and likelihoods

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 Added by Karim Benabed
 Publication date 2019
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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This paper describes the 2018 Planck CMB likelihoods, following a hybrid approach similar to the 2015 one, with different approximations at low and high multipoles, and implementing several methodological and analysis refinements. With more realistic simulations, and better correction and modelling of systematics, we can now make full use of the High Frequency Instrument polarization data. The low-multipole 100x143 GHz EE cross-spectrum constrains the reionization optical-depth parameter $tau$ to better than 15% (in combination with with the other low- and high-$ell$ likelihoods). We also update the 2015 baseline low-$ell$ joint TEB likelihood based on the Low Frequency Instrument data, which provides a weaker $tau$ constraint. At high multipoles, a better model of the temperature-to-polarization leakage and corrections for the effective calibrations of the polarization channels (polarization efficiency or PE) allow us to fully use the polarization spectra, improving the constraints on the $Lambda$CDM parameters by 20 to 30% compared to TT-only constraints. Tests on the modelling of the polarization demonstrate good consistency, with some residual modelling uncertainties, the accuracy of the PE modelling being the main limitation. Using our various tests, simulations, and comparison between different high-$ell$ implementations, we estimate the consistency of the results to be better than the 0.5$sigma$ level. Minor curiosities already present before (differences between $ell$<800 and $ell$>800 parameters or the preference for more smoothing of the $C_ell$ peaks) are shown to be driven by the TT power spectrum and are not significantly modified by the inclusion of polarization. Overall, the legacy Planck CMB likelihoods provide a robust tool for constraining the cosmological model and represent a reference for future CMB observations. (Abridged)



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This paper presents the Planck 2015 likelihoods, statistical descriptions of the 2-point correlations of CMB data, using the hybrid approach employed previously: pixel-based at $ell<30$ and a Gaussian approximation to the distribution of spectra at higher $ell$. The main improvements are the use of more and better processed data and of Planck polarization data, and more detailed foreground and instrumental models, allowing further checks and enhanced immunity to systematics. Progress in foreground modelling enables a larger sky fraction. Improvements in processing and instrumental models further reduce uncertainties. For temperature, we perform an analysis of end-to-end instrumental simulations fed into the data processing pipeline; this does not reveal biases from residual instrumental systematics. The $Lambda$CDM cosmological model continues to offer a very good fit to Planck data. The slope of primordial scalar fluctuations, $n_s$, is confirmed smaller than unity at more than 5{sigma} from Planck alone. We further validate robustness against specific extensions to the baseline cosmology. E.g., the effective number of neutrino species remains compatible with the canonical value of 3.046. This first detailed analysis of Planck polarization concentrates on E modes. At low $ell$ we use temperature at all frequencies and a subset of polarization. The frequency range improves CMB-foreground separation. Within the baseline model this requires a reionization optical depth $tau=0.078pm0.019$, significantly lower than without high-frequency data for explicit dust monitoring. At high $ell$ we detect residual errors in E, typically O($mu$K$^2$); we recommend temperature alone as the high-$ell$ baseline. Nevertheless, Planck high-$ell$ polarization allows a separate determination of $Lambda$CDM parameters consistent with those from temperature alone.
We present the Planck likelihood, a complete statistical description of the two-point correlation function of the CMB temperature fluctuations. We use this likelihood to derive the Planck CMB power spectrum over three decades in l, covering 2 <= l <= 2500. The main source of error at l <= 1500 is cosmic variance. Uncertainties in small-scale foreground modelling and instrumental noise dominate the error budget at higher ls. For l < 50, our likelihood exploits all Planck frequency channels from 30 to 353 GHz through a physically motivated Bayesian component separation technique. At l >= 50, we employ a correlated Gaussian likelihood approximation based on angular cross-spectra derived from the 100, 143 and 217 GHz channels. We validate our likelihood through an extensive suite of consistency tests, and assess the impact of residual foreground and instrumental uncertainties on cosmological parameters. We find good internal agreement among the high-l cross-spectra with residuals of a few uK^2 at l <= 1000. We compare our results with foreground-cleaned CMB maps, and with cross-spectra derived from the 70 GHz Planck map, and find broad agreement in terms of spectrum residuals and cosmological parameters. The best-fit LCDM cosmology is in excellent agreement with preliminary Planck polarisation spectra. The standard LCDM cosmology is well constrained by Planck by l <= 1500. For example, we report a 5.4 sigma deviation from n_s /= 1. Considering various extensions beyond the standard model, we find no indication of significant departures from the LCDM framework. Finally, we report a tension between the best-fit LCDM model and the low-l spectrum in the form of a power deficit of 5-10% at l <~ 40, significant at 2.5-3 sigma. We do not elaborate further on its cosmological implications, but note that this is our most puzzling finding in an otherwise remarkably consistent dataset. (Abridged)
Analysis of the Planck 2018 data set indicates that the statistical properties of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature anisotropies are in excellent agreement with previous studies using the 2013 and 2015 data releases. In particular, they are consistent with the Gaussian predictions of the $Lambda$CDM cosmological model, yet also confirm the presence of several so-called anomalies on large angular scales. The novelty of the current study, however, lies in being a first attempt at a comprehensive analysis of the statistics of the polarization signal over all angular scales, using either maps of the Stokes parameters, $Q$ and $U$, or the $E$-mode signal derived from these using a new methodology (which we describe in an appendix). Although remarkable progress has been made in reducing the systematic effects that contaminated the 2015 polarization maps on large angular scales, it is still the case that residual systematics (and our ability to simulate them) can limit some tests of non-Gaussianity and isotropy. However, a detailed set of null tests applied to the maps indicates that these issues do not dominate the analysis on intermediate and large angular scales (i.e., $ell lesssim 400$). In this regime, no unambiguous detections of cosmological non-Gaussianity, or of anomalies corresponding to those seen in temperature, are claimed. Notably, the stacking of CMB polarization signals centred on the positions of temperature hot and cold spots exhibits excellent agreement with the $Lambda$CDM cosmological model, and also gives a clear indication of how Planck provides state-of-the-art measurements of CMB temperature and polarization on degree scales.
In this work we update the bounds on $sum m_{ u}$ from latest publicly available cosmological data and likelihoods using Bayesian analysis, while explicitly considering particular neutrino mass hierarchies. In the minimal $Lambdatextrm{CDM}+sum m_{ u}$ model with most recent CMB data from Planck 2018 TT,TE,EE, lowE, and lensing; and BAO data from BOSS DR12, MGS, and 6dFGS, we find that at 95% C.L. the bounds are: $sum m_{ u}<0.12$ eV (degenerate), $sum m_{ u}<0.15$ eV (normal), $sum m_{ u}<0.17$ eV (inverted). The bounds vary across the different mass orderings due to different priors on $sum m_{ u}$. Also, we find that the normal hierarchy is very mildly preferred relative to the inverted, using both minimum $chi^2$ values and Bayesian Evidence ratios. In this paper we also provide bounds on $sum m_{ u}$ considering different hierarchies in various extended cosmological models: $Lambdatextrm{CDM}+sum m_{ u}+r$, $wtextrm{CDM}+sum m_{ u}$, $w_0 w_a textrm{CDM}+sum m_{ u}$, $w_0 w_a textrm{CDM}+sum m_{ u}$ with $w(z)geq -1$, $Lambda textrm{CDM} + sum m_{ u} + Omega_k$, and $Lambda textrm{CDM} + sum m_{ u} + A_{textrm{Lens}}$. We do not find any strong evidence of normal hierarchy over inverted hierarchy in the extended models either.
We present cosmological parameter results from the final full-mission Planck measurements of the CMB anisotropies. We find good consistency with the standard spatially-flat 6-parameter $Lambda$CDM cosmology having a power-law spectrum of adiabatic scalar perturbations (denoted base $Lambda$CDM in this paper), from polarization, temperature, and lensing, separately and in combination. A combined analysis gives dark matter density $Omega_c h^2 = 0.120pm 0.001$, baryon density $Omega_b h^2 = 0.0224pm 0.0001$, scalar spectral index $n_s = 0.965pm 0.004$, and optical depth $tau = 0.054pm 0.007$ (in this abstract we quote $68,%$ confidence regions on measured parameters and $95,%$ on upper limits). The angular acoustic scale is measured to $0.03,%$ precision, with $100theta_*=1.0411pm 0.0003$. These results are only weakly dependent on the cosmological model and remain stable, with somewhat increased errors, in many commonly considered extensions. Assuming the base-$Lambda$CDM cosmology, the inferred late-Universe parameters are: Hubble constant $H_0 = (67.4pm 0.5)$km/s/Mpc; matter density parameter $Omega_m = 0.315pm 0.007$; and matter fluctuation amplitude $sigma_8 = 0.811pm 0.006$. We find no compelling evidence for extensions to the base-$Lambda$CDM model. Combining with BAO we constrain the effective extra relativistic degrees of freedom to be $N_{rm eff} = 2.99pm 0.17$, and the neutrino mass is tightly constrained to $sum m_ u< 0.12$eV. The CMB spectra continue to prefer higher lensing amplitudes than predicted in base -$Lambda$CDM at over $2,sigma$, which pulls some parameters that affect the lensing amplitude away from the base-$Lambda$CDM model; however, this is not supported by the lensing reconstruction or (in models that also change the background geometry) BAO data. (Abridged)
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