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Register a new userComparison of Observed Galaxy Properties with Semianalytic Model Predictions using Machine Learning
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With current and upcoming experiments such as WFIRST, Euclid and LSST, we can observe up to billions of galaxies. While such surveys cannot obtain spectra for all observed galaxies, they produce galaxy magnitudes in color filters. This data set behaves like a high-dimensional nonlinear surface, an excellent target for machine learning. In this work, we use a lightcone of semianalytic galaxies tuned to match CANDELS observations from Lu et al. (2014) to train a set of neural networks on a set of galaxy physical properties. We add realistic photometric noise and use trained neural networks to predict stellar masses and average star formation rates on real CANDELS galaxies, comparing our predictions to SED fitting results. On semianalytic galaxies, we are nearly competitive with template-fitting methods, with biases of $0.01$ dex for stellar mass, $0.09$ dex for star formation rate, and $0.04$ dex for metallicity. For the observed CANDELS data, our results are consistent with template fits on the same data at $0.15$ dex bias in $M_{rm star}$ and $0.61$ dex bias in star formation rate. Some of the bias is driven by SED-fitting limitations, rather than limitations on the training set, and some is intrinsic to the neural network method. Further errors are likely caused by differences in noise properties between the semianalytic catalogs and data. Our results show that galaxy physical properties can in principle be measured with neural networks at a competitive degree of accuracy and precision to template-fitting methods.
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The objective of this work was to assess the clinical performance of an unsupervised machine learning model aimed at identifying unusual medication orders and pharmacological profiles. We conducted a prospective study between April 2020 and August 2020 where 25 clinical pharmacists dichotomously (typical or atypical) rated 12,471 medication orders and 1,356 pharmacological profiles. Based on AUPR, performance was poor for orders, but satisfactory for profiles. Pharmacists considered the model a useful screening tool.
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We demonstrate that highly accurate joint redshift-stellar mass probability distribution functions (PDFs) can be obtained using the Random Forest (RF) machine learning (ML) algorithm, even with few photometric bands available. As an example, we use the Dark Energy Survey (DES), combined with the COSMOS2015 catalogue for redshifts and stellar masses. We build two ML models: one containing deep photometry in the $griz$ bands, and the second reflecting the photometric scatter present in the main DES survey, with carefully constructed representative training data in each case. We validate our joint PDFs for $10,699$ test galaxies by utilizing the copula probability integral transform and the Kendall distribution function, and their univariate counterparts to validate the marginals. Benchmarked against a basic set-up of the template-fitting code BAGPIPES, our ML-based method outperforms template fitting on all of our predefined performance metrics. In addition to accuracy, the RF is extremely fast, able to compute joint PDFs for a million galaxies in just under $6$ min with consumer computer hardware. Such speed enables PDFs to be derived in real time within analysis codes, solving potential storage issues. As part of this work we have developed GALPRO, a highly intuitive and efficient Python package to rapidly generate multivariate PDFs on-the-fly. GALPRO is documented and available for researchers to use in their cosmology and galaxy evolution studies.
Wu & Peek (2020) predict SDSS-quality spectra based on Pan-STARRS broad-band textit{grizy} images using machine learning (ML). In this letter, we test their prediction for a unique object, UGC 2885 (Rubins galaxy), the largest and most massive, isolated disk galaxy in the local Universe ($D<100$ Mpc). After obtaining the ML predicted spectrum, we compare it to all existing spectroscopic information that is comparable to an SDSS spectrum of the central region: two archival spectra, one extracted from the VIRUS-P observations of this galaxy, and a new, targeted MMT/Binospec observation. Agreement is qualitatively good, though the ML prediction prefers line ratios slightly more towards those of an active galactic nucleus (AGN), compared to archival and VIRUS-P observed values. The MMT/Binospec nuclear spectrum unequivocally shows strong emission lines except H$beta$, the ratios of which are consistent with AGN activity. The ML approach to galaxy spectra may be a viable way to identify AGN supplementing NIR colors. How such a massive disk galaxy ($M^* = 10^{11}$ M$_odot$), which uncharacteristically shows no sign of interaction or mergers, manages to fuel its central AGN remains to be investigated.
We explore unsupervised machine learning for galaxy morphology analyses using a combination of feature extraction with a vector-quantised variational autoencoder (VQ-VAE) and hierarchical clustering (HC). We propose a new methodology that includes: (1) consideration of the clustering performance simultaneously when learning features from images; (2) allowing for various distance thresholds within the HC algorithm; (3) using the galaxy orientation to determine the number of clusters. This setup provides 27 clusters created with this unsupervised learning which we show are well separated based on galaxy shape and structure (e.g., Sersic index, concentration, asymmetry, Gini coefficient). These resulting clusters also correlate well with physical properties such as the colour-magnitude diagram, and span the range of scaling-relations such as mass vs. size amongst the different machine-defined clusters. When we merge these multiple clusters into two large preliminary clusters to provide a binary classification, an accuracy of $sim87%$ is reached using an imbalanced dataset, matching real galaxy distributions, which includes 22.7% early-type galaxies and 77.3% late-type galaxies. Comparing the given clusters with classic Hubble types (ellipticals, lenticulars, early spirals, late spirals, and irregulars), we show that there is an intrinsic vagueness in visual classification systems, in particular galaxies with transitional features such as lenticulars and early spirals. Based on this, the main result in this work is not how well our unsupervised method matches visual classifications and physical properties, but that the method provides an independent classification that may be more physically meaningful than any visually based ones.
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