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Register a new userGravity and Light: Combining Gravitational Wave and Electromagnetic Observations in the 2020s
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As of today, we have directly detected exactly one source in both gravitational waves (GWs) and electromagnetic (EM) radiation, the binary neutron star merger GW170817, its associated gamma-ray burst GRB170817A, and the subsequent kilonova SSS17a/AT 2017gfo. Within ten years, we will detect hundreds of events, including new classes of events such as neutron-star-black-hole mergers, core-collapse supernovae, and almost certainly something completely unexpected. As we build this sample, we will explore exotic astrophysical topics ranging from nucleosynthesis, stellar evolution, general relativity, high-energy astrophysics, nuclear matter, to cosmology. The discovery potential is extraordinary, and investments in this area will yield major scientific breakthroughs. Here we outline some of the most exciting scientific questions that can be answered by combining GW and EM observations.
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We discuss two approaches to searches for gravitational-wave (GW) and electromagnetic (EM) counterparts of binary neutron star mergers. The first approach relies on triggering archival searches of GW detector data based on detections of EM transients. We introduce a quantitative approach to evaluate the improvement to GW detector reach due to the extra information gained from the EM transient and the increased confidence in the presence of a signal from a binary merger. We also advocate utilizing other transients in addition to short gamma ray bursts. The second approach involves following up GW candidates with targeted EM observations. We argue for the use of slower but optimal parameter-estimation techniques to localize the source on the sky, and for a more sophisticated use of astrophysical prior information, including galaxy catalogs, to find preferred followup locations.
The blossoming field of joint gravitational wave and electromagnetic (GW-EM) astronomy is one of the most promising in astronomy. The first, and only, joint GW-EM event GW170817 provided remarkable science returns that still continue to this day. Continued growth in this field requires increasing the sample size of joint GW-EM detections. In this white paper, we outline the case for using some percentage of LSST survey time for dedicated target-of-opportunity follow up of GW triggers in order to efficiently and rapidly identify optical counterparts. We show that the timeline for the LSST science survey is well matched to the planned improvements to ground based GW detectors in the next decade. LSST will become particularly crucial in the later half of the 2020s as more and more distant GW sources are detected. Lastly, we highlight some of the key science goals that can be addressed by a large sample of joint GW-EM detections.
Gravitational wave transients, resulting from the merger of two stellar remnants, are now detectable. The properties and rates of these directly relates to the stellar population which gave rise to their progenitors, and thus to other, electromagnetic transients which result from stellar death. We aim to estimate simultaneously the event rates and delay time distribution of gravitational wave-driven compact object mergers together with the rates of core collapse and thermonuclear supernovae within a single consistent stellar population synthesis paradigm. We combine event delay-time distributions at different metallicities from the Binary Population and Spectral Synthesis (BPASS) models with an analytic model of the volume-averaged cosmic star formation rate density and chemical evolution to determine the volume-averaged rates of each event rate at the current time. We estimate rates in excellent agreement with extant observational constraints on core-collapse supernovae, thermonuclear supernovae and long GRBs. We predict rates for gravitational wave mergers based on the same stellar populations, and find rates consistent with current LIGO estimates. We note that tighter constraints on the rates of these events will be required before it is possible to determine their redshift evolution, progenitor metallicity dependence or constrain uncertain aspects of stellar evolution.
The recent detection of gravitational waves (GWs) and electromagnetic (EM) waves originating from the same source marks the start of a new multi-messenger era in astronomy. The arrival time difference between the GW and EM signal can be used to constrain differences in their propagation speed, and thus gravitational theories. We study to what extent a non-zero time delay can be explained by gravitational lensing when the line of sight to the source passes near a massive object. For galaxy scale lenses, this delay becomes relevant for GWs with frequencies between $10^{-6}$ and $10^{-9}$ Hz, sourced by super massive binary black-holes. In addition to GWs detectable by Pulsar Timing Arrays (PTAs), we expect to find also a unique and recognizable EM signal. We show that the delay between the GW and EM signal can be of the order of days to months; within reach of future observations. The effect may become important in future multi-messenger astronomy probing of gravitational propagation and interactions.
We discuss a modified gravity model which fits cosmological observations at a level statistically indistinguishable from $Lambda$CDM and at the same time predicts very large deviations from General Relativity (GR) in the propagation of gravitational waves (GWs) across cosmological distances. The model is a variant of the RT nonlocal model proposed and developed by our group, with initial conditions set during inflation, and predicts a GW luminosity distance that, at the redshifts accessible to LISA or to a third-generation GW detector such as the Einstein Telescope (ET), can differ from that in GR by as much as $60%$. An effect of this size could be detected with just a single standard siren with counterpart by LISA or ET. At the redshifts accessible to a LIGO/Virgo/Kagra network at target sensitivity the effect is smaller but still potentially detectable. Indeed, for the recently announced LIGO/Virgo NS-BH candidate S190814bv, the RT model predicts that, given the measured GW luminosity distance, the actual luminosity distance, and the redshift of an electromagnetic counterpart, would be smaller by as much as $7%$ with respect to the value inferred from $Lambda$CDM.
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