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We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We investigate the degeneracy phenomenon induced by directly controlling the coefficient of the noise term, and propose a simple procedure to resolve this degeneracy whilst retaining dynamic programming. As an application, we use pathwise stochastic control in the context of stochastic filtering to construct filters which are robust to parameter uncertainty, demonstrating an original application of rough path theory to statistics.
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In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the relevant parameters vary within certain range, it is crucial to investigate how the performance measure is affected by the variation of system parameters. In this paper, we demonstrate that such issue boils down to the study of the variation of functions of uncertainty. Motivated by this vision, we propose a general theory for inferring function of uncertainties. By virtue of such theory, we investigate concentration phenomenon of random vectors. We derive uniform exponential inequalities and multidimensional probabilistic inequalities for random vectors, which are substantially tighter as compared to existing ones. The probabilistic inequalities are applied to investigate the performance of control systems with real parametric uncertainty. It is demonstrated much more useful insights of control systems can be obtained. Moreover, the probabilistic inequalities offer performance analysis in a significantly less conservative way as compared to the classical deterministic worst-case method.
Existence and uniqueness of solutions to the stochastic heat equation with multiplicative spatial noise is studied. In the spirit of pathwise regularization by noise, we show that a perturbation by a sufficiently irregular continuous path establish wellposedness of such equations, even when the drift and diffusion coefficients are given as generalized functions or distributions. In addition we prove regularity of the averaged field associated to a Levy fractional stable motion, and use this as an example of a perturbation regularizing the multiplicative stochastic heat equation.
We prove pathwise uniqueness for solutions of parabolic stochastic pdes with multiplicative white noise if the coefficient is Holder continuous of index $gamma>3/4$. The method of proof is an infinite-dimensional version of the Yamada-Watanabe argument for ordinary stochastic differential equations.
In the late seventies, Clark [In Communication Systems and Random Process Theory (Proc. 2nd NATO Advanced Study Inst., Darlington, 1977) (1978) 721-734, Sijthoff & Noordhoff] pointed out that it would be natural for $pi_t$, the solution of the stochastic filtering problem, to depend continuously on the observed data $Y={Y_s,sin[0,t]}$. Indeed, if the signal and the observation noise are independent one can show that, for any suitably chosen test function $f$, there exists a continuous map $theta^f_t$, defined on the space of continuous paths $C([0,t],mathbb{R}^d)$ endowed with the uniform convergence topology such that $pi_t(f)=theta^f_t(Y)$, almost surely; see, for example, Clark [In Communication Systems and Random Process Theory (Proc. 2nd NATO Advanced Study Inst., Darlington, 1977) (1978) 721-734, Sijthoff & Noordhoff], Clark and Crisan [Probab. Theory Related Fields 133 (2005) 43-56], Davis [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 54 (1980) 125-139], Davis [Teor. Veroyatn. Primen. 27 (1982) 160-167], Kushner [Stochastics 3 (1979) 75-83]. As shown by Davis and Spathopoulos [SIAM J. Control Optim. 25 (1987) 260-278], Davis [In Stochastic Systems: The Mathematics of Filtering and Identification and Applications, Proc. NATO Adv. Study Inst. Les Arcs, Savoie, France 1980 505-528], [In The Oxford Handbook of Nonlinear Filtering (2011) 403-424 Oxford Univ. Press], this type of robust representation is also possible when the signal and the observation noise are correlated, provided the observation process is scalar. For a general correlated noise and multidimensional observations such a representation does not exist. By using the theory of rough paths we provide a solution to this deficiency: the observation process $Y$ is lifted to the process $mathbf{Y}$ that consists of $Y$ and its corresponding L{e}vy area process, and we show that there exists a continuous map $theta_t^f$, defined on a suitably chosen space of H{o}lder continuous paths such that $pi_t(f)=theta_t^f(mathbf{Y})$, almost surely.
We investigate the probabilistic and analytic properties of Volterra processes constructed as pathwise integrals of deterministic kernels with respect to the Holder continuous trajectories of Hilbert-valued Gaussian processes. To this end, we extend the Volterra sewing lemma from cite{HarangTindel} to the two dimensional case, in order to construct two dimensional operator-valued Volterra integrals of Young type. We prove that the covariance operator associated to infinite dimensional Volterra processes can be represented by such a two dimensional integral, which extends the current notion of representation for such covariance operators. We then discuss a series of applications of these results, including the construction of a rough path associated to a Volterra process driven by Gaussian noise with possibly irregular covariance structures, as well as a description of the irregular covariance structure arising from Gaussian processes time-shifted along irregular trajectories. Furthermore, we consider an infinite dimensional fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by Gaussian noise, which can be seen as an extension of the volatility model proposed by Rosenbaum et al. in cite{ElEuchRosenbaum}.
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