Chaotic signature of climate extremes


Abstract in English

Understanding the dynamics of climate extreme is important in its prediction and modeling. In this study, linear trends in percentile, threshold, absolute, and duration based temperature and precipitation extremes indicator were obtained for the period 1979 - 2012 using the ETCCDI data set. The pattern of trend was compared with nonlinear measures (Entropy, Hurst Exponent, Recurrence Quantification Analysis) of temperature and precipitation. Regions which show positive trends in temperature based extremes were found to be areas with low entropy and chaotic. Complexity measures also revealed that the dynamics of the southern hemisphere differs from that of the northern hemisphere.

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