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Register a new userModeling Treatment Delays for Patients using Feature Label Pairs in a Time Series
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Pharmaceutical targeting is one of key inputs for making sales and marketing strategy planning. Targeting list is built on predicting physicians sales potential of certain type of patient. In this paper, we present a time-sensitive targeting framework leveraging time series model to predict patients disease and treatment progression. We create time features by extracting service history within a certain period, and record whether the event happens in a look-forward period. Such feature-label pairs are examined across all time periods and all patients to train a model. It keeps the inherent order of services and evaluates features associated to the imminent future, which contribute to improved accuracy.
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We propose a Variational Time Series Feature Extractor (VTSFE), inspired by the VAE-DMP model of Chen et al., to be used for action recognition and prediction. Our method is based on variational autoencoders. It improves VAE-DMP in that it has a better noise inference model, a simpler transition model constraining the acceleration in the trajectories of the latent space, and a tighter lower bound for the variational inference. We apply the method for classification and prediction of whole-body movements on a dataset with 7 tasks and 10 demonstrations per task, recorded with a wearable motion capture suit. The comparison with VAE and VAE-DMP suggests the better performance of our method for feature extraction. An open-source software implementation of each method with TensorFlow is also provided. In addition, a more detailed version of this work can be found in the indicated code repository. Although it was meant to, the VTSFE hasnt been tested for action prediction, due to a lack of time in the context of Maxime Chaveroches Master thesis at INRIA.
We introduce supervised feature ranking and feature subset selection algorithms for multivariate time series (MTS) classification. Unlike most existing supervised/unsupervised feature selection algorithms for MTS our techniques do not require a feature extraction step to generate a one-dimensional feature vector from the time series. Instead it is based on directly computing similarity between individual time series and assessing how well the resulting cluster structure matches the labels. The techniques are amenable to heterogeneous MTS data, where the time series measurements may have different sampling resolutions, and to multi-modal data.
Time series modeling has attracted extensive research efforts; however, achieving both reliable efficiency and interpretability from a unified model still remains a challenging problem. Among the literature, shapelets offer interpretable and explanatory insights in the classification tasks, while most existing works ignore the differing representative power at different time slices, as well as (more importantly) the evolution pattern of shapelets. In this paper, we propose to extract time-aware shapelets by designing a two-level timing factor. Moreover, we define and construct the shapelet evolution graph, which captures how shapelets evolve over time and can be incorporated into the time series embeddings by graph embedding algorithms. To validate whether the representations obtained in this way can be applied effectively in various scenarios, we conduct experiments based on three public time series datasets, and two real-world datasets from different domains. Experimental results clearly show the improvements achieved by our approach compared with 17 state-of-the-art baselines.
Partial multi-label learning (PML) models the scenario where each training instance is annotated with a set of candidate labels, and only some of the labels are relevant. The PML problem is practical in real-world scenarios, as it is difficult and even impossible to obtain precisely labeled samples. Several PML solutions have been proposed to combat with the prone misled by the irrelevant labels concealed in the candidate labels, but they generally focus on the smoothness assumption in feature space or low-rank assumption in label space, while ignore the negative information between features and labels. Specifically, if two instances have largely overlapped candidate labels, irrespective of their feature similarity, their ground-truth labels should be similar; while if they are dissimilar in the feature and candidate label space, their ground-truth labels should be dissimilar with each other. To achieve a credible predictor on PML data, we propose a novel approach called PML-LFC (Partial Multi-label Learning with Label and Feature Collaboration). PML-LFC estimates the confidence values of relevant labels for each instance using the similarity from both the label and feature spaces, and trains the desired predictor with the estimated confidence values. PML-LFC achieves the predictor and the latent label matrix in a reciprocal reinforce manner by a unified model, and develops an alternative optimization procedure to optimize them. Extensive empirical study on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrates the superiority of PML-LFC.
Time series data analytics has been a problem of substantial interests for decades, and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) has been the most widely adopted technique to measure dissimilarity between time series. A number of global-alignment kernels have since been proposed in the spirit of DTW to extend its use to kernel-based estimation method such as support vector machine. However, those kernels suffer from diagonal dominance of the Gram matrix and a quadratic complexity w.r.t. the sample size. In this work, we study a family of alignment-aware positive definite (p.d.) kernels, with its feature embedding given by a distribution of emph{Random Warping Series (RWS)}. The proposed kernel does not suffer from the issue of diagonal dominance while naturally enjoys a emph{Random Features} (RF) approximation, which reduces the computational complexity of existing DTW-based techniques from quadratic to linear in terms of both the number and the length of time-series. We also study the convergence of the RF approximation for the domain of time series of unbounded length. Our extensive experiments on 16 benchmark datasets demonstrate that RWS outperforms or matches state-of-the-art classification and clustering methods in both accuracy and computational time. Our code and data is available at { url{https://github.com/IBM/RandomWarpingSeries}}.
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