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Register a new userCVEK: Robust Estimation and Testing for Nonlinear Effects using Kernel Machine Ensemble
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Added by
Wenying Deng
Publication date
2018
fields
Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
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The R package CVEK introduces a suite of flexible machine learning models and robust hypothesis tests for learning the joint nonlinear effects of multiple covariates in limited samples. It implements the Cross-validated Ensemble of Kernels (CVEK)(Liu and Coull 2017), an ensemble-based kernel machine learning method that adaptively learns the joint nonlinear effect of multiple covariates from data, and provides powerful hypothesis tests for both main effects of features and interactions among features. The R Package CVEK provides a flexible, easy-to-use implementation of CVEK, and offers a wide range of choices for the kernel family (for instance, polynomial, radial basis functions, Matern, neural network, and others), model selection criteria, ensembling method (averaging, exponential weighting, cross-validated stacking), and the type of hypothesis test (asymptotic or parametric bootstrap). Through extensive simulations we demonstrate the validity and robustness of this approach, and provide practical guidelines on how to design an estimation strategy for optimal performance in different data scenarios.
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Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be used. In such settings, Bayesian inference can be performed using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). However, in spite of many recent developments to ABC methodology, in many applications the computational cost of ABC necessitates the choice of summary statistics and tolerances that can potentially severely bias the estimate of the posterior. We propose a new piecewise ABC approach suitable for discretely observed Markov models that involves writing the posterior density of the parameters as a product of factors, each a function of only a subset of the data, and then using ABC within each factor. The approach has the advantage of side-stepping the need to choose a summary statistic and it enables a stringent tolerance to be set, making the posterior less approximate. We investigate two methods for estimating the posterior density based on ABC samples for each of the factors: the first is to use a Gaussian approximation for each factor, and the second is to use a kernel density estimate. Both methods have their merits. The Gaussian approximation is simple, fast, and probably adequate for many applications. On the other hand, using instead a kernel density estimate has the benefit of consistently estimating the true ABC posterior as the number of ABC samples tends to infinity. We illustrate the piecewise ABC approach for three examples; in each case, the approach enables exact matching between simulations and data and offers fast and accurate inference.
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