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Register a new userContinuous Assortment Optimization with Logit Choice Probabilities under Incomplete Information
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We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the sellers problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the relation between assortment and customer choice, we propose a probabilistic choice model that forms the continuous counterpart of the widely studied discrete multinomial logit model. We consider the sellers problem under incomplete information, propose a stochastic-approximation type of policy, and show that its regret -- its performance loss compared to the optimal policy -- is only logarithmic in the time horizon. We complement this result by showing a matching lower bound on the regret of any policy, implying that our policy is asymptotically optimal. We then show that adding a capacity constraint significantly changes the structure of the problem: we construct a policy and show that its regret after $T$ time periods is bounded above by a constant times $T^{2/3}$ (up to a logarithmic term); in addition, we show that the regret of any policy is bounded from below by a positive constant times $T^{2/3}$, so that also in the capacitated case we obtain asymptotic optimality. Numerical illustrations show that our policies outperform or are on par with alternatives.
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In this paper we consider the problem of pricing multiple differentiated products. This is challenging as a price change in one product, not only changes the demand of that particular product, but also the demand for the other products. To address this problem, customer choice models have recently been introduced as these are capable of describing customer choice behavior across differentiated products. In the present paper the objective is to obtain the revenue-maximizing prices when the customers decision making process is modelled according to a particular customer choice model, namely the mixed logit model. The main advantage of using the mixed logit model, also known as the random coefficients logit model, for this purpose is its flexibility. In the single-product case we establish log-concavity of the optimization problem under certain regularity conditions. In addition, in the multi-product case, we present the results of our extensive numerical experiments. These suggest that the mixed logit model, by taking unobserved customer heterogeneity and flexible substitution patterns into account, can significantly improve the attainable revenue.
We consider the dynamic assortment optimization problem under the multinomial logit model (MNL) with unknown utility parameters. The main question investigated in this paper is model mis-specification under the $varepsilon$-contamination model, which is a fundamental model in robust statistics and machine learning. In particular, throughout a selling horizon of length $T$, we assume that customers make purchases according to a well specified underlying multinomial logit choice model in a ($1-varepsilon$)-fraction of the time periods, and make arbitrary purchasing decisions instead in the remaining $varepsilon$-fraction of the time periods. In this model, we develop a new robust online assortment optimization policy via an active elimination strategy. We establish both upper and lower bounds on the regret, and show that our policy is optimal up to logarithmic factor in T when the assortment capacity is constant. Furthermore, we develop a fully adaptive policy that does not require any prior knowledge of the contamination parameter $varepsilon$. Our simulation study shows that our policy outperforms the existing policies based on upper confidence bounds (UCB) and Thompson sampling.
Many real-world applications involve black-box optimization of multiple objectives using continuous function approximations that trade-off accuracy and resource cost of evaluation. For example, in rocket launching research, we need to find designs that trade-off return-time and angular distance using continuous-fidelity simulators (e.g., varying tolerance parameter to trade-off simulation time and accuracy) for design evaluations. The goal is to approximate the optimal Pareto set by minimizing the cost for evaluations. In this paper, we propose a novel approach referred to as information-Theoretic Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization with Continuous Approximations (iMOCA)} to solve this problem. The key idea is to select the sequence of input and function approximations for multiple objectives which maximize the information gain per unit cost for the optimal Pareto front. Our experiments on diverse synthetic and real-world benchmarks show that iMOCA significantly improves over existing single-fidelity methods.
This paper presents novel mixed-type Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms to accelerate the optimization of a target objective function by exploiting correlated auxiliary information of binary type that can be more cheaply obtained, such as in policy search for reinforcement learning and hyperparameter tuning of machine learning models with early stopping. To achieve this, we first propose a mixed-type multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) to jointly model the continuous target function and binary auxiliary functions. Then, we propose information-based acquisition functions such as mixed-type entropy search (MT-ES) and mixed-type predictive ES (MT-PES) for mixed-type BO based on the MOGP predictive belief of the target and auxiliary functions. The exact acquisition functions of MT-ES and MT-PES cannot be computed in closed form and need to be approximated. We derive an efficient approximation of MT-PES via a novel mixed-type random features approximation of the MOGP model whose cross-correlation structure between the target and auxiliary functions can be exploited for improving the belief of the global target maximizer using observations from evaluating these functions. We propose new practical constraints to relate the global target maximizer to the binary auxiliary functions. We empirically evaluate the performance of MT-ES and MT-PES with synthetic and real-world experiments.
Many loss functions in representation learning are invariant under a continuous symmetry transformation. For example, the loss function of word embeddings (Mikolov et al., 2013) remains unchanged if we simultaneously rotate all word and context embedding vectors. We show that representation learning models for time series possess an approximate continuous symmetry that leads to slow convergence of gradient descent. We propose a new optimization algorithm that speeds up convergence using ideas from gauge theory in physics. Our algorithm leads to orders of magnitude faster convergence and to more interpretable representations, as we show for dynamic extensions of matrix factorization and word embedding models. We further present an example application of our proposed algorithm that translates modern words into their historic equivalents.
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