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Register a new userFeature-based time-series analysis
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Added by
Ben Fulcher
Publication date
2017
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
Authors
Ben D. Fulcher
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This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of feature-based representations for time series that have been developed to aid interpretable insights into time-series structure. Particular emphasis is given to emerging research that facilitates wide comparison of feature-based representations that allow us to understand the properties of a time-series dataset that make it suited to a particular feature-based representation or analysis algorithm. The future of time-series analysis is likely to embrace approaches that exploit machine learning methods to partially automate human learning to aid understanding of the complex dynamical patterns in the time series we measure from the world.
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A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across the scientific time-series analysis literature, and include summaries of time series in terms of their correlation structure, distribution, entropy, stationarity, scaling properties, and fits to a range of time-series models. After computing thousands of features for each time series in a training set, those that are most informative of the class structure are selected using greedy forward feature selection with a linear classifier. The resulting feature-based classifiers automatically learn the differences between classes using a reduced number of time-series properties, and circumvent the need to calculate distances between time series. Representing time series in this way results in orders of magnitude of dimensionality reduction, allowing the method to perform well on very large datasets containing long time series or time series of different lengths. For many of the datasets studied, classification performance exceeded that of conventional instance-based classifiers, including one nearest neighbor classifiers using Euclidean distances and dynamic time warping and, most importantly, the features selected provide an understanding of the properties of the dataset, insight that can guide further scientific investigation.
In this paper, we present the FATS (Feature Analysis for Time Series) library. FATS is a Python library which facilitates and standardizes feature extraction for time series data. In particular, we focus on one application: feature extraction for astronomical light curve data, although the library is generalizable for other uses. We detail the methods and features implemented for light curve analysis, and present examples for its usage.
We introduce supervised feature ranking and feature subset selection algorithms for multivariate time series (MTS) classification. Unlike most existing supervised/unsupervised feature selection algorithms for MTS our techniques do not require a feature extraction step to generate a one-dimensional feature vector from the time series. Instead it is based on directly computing similarity between individual time series and assessing how well the resulting cluster structure matches the labels. The techniques are amenable to heterogeneous MTS data, where the time series measurements may have different sampling resolutions, and to multi-modal data.
We propose a Variational Time Series Feature Extractor (VTSFE), inspired by the VAE-DMP model of Chen et al., to be used for action recognition and prediction. Our method is based on variational autoencoders. It improves VAE-DMP in that it has a better noise inference model, a simpler transition model constraining the acceleration in the trajectories of the latent space, and a tighter lower bound for the variational inference. We apply the method for classification and prediction of whole-body movements on a dataset with 7 tasks and 10 demonstrations per task, recorded with a wearable motion capture suit. The comparison with VAE and VAE-DMP suggests the better performance of our method for feature extraction. An open-source software implementation of each method with TensorFlow is also provided. In addition, a more detailed version of this work can be found in the indicated code repository. Although it was meant to, the VTSFE hasnt been tested for action prediction, due to a lack of time in the context of Maxime Chaveroches Master thesis at INRIA.
Explanation methods applied to sequential models for multivariate time series prediction are receiving more attention in machine learning literature. While current methods perform well at providing instance-wise explanations, they struggle to efficiently and accurately make attributions over long periods of time and with complex feature interactions. We propose WinIT, a framework for evaluating feature importance in time series prediction settings by quantifying the shift in predictive distribution over multiple instances in a windowed setting. Comprehensive empirical evidence shows our method improves on the previous state-of-the-art, FIT, by capturing temporal dependencies in feature importance. We also demonstrate how the solution improves the appropriate attribution of features within time steps, which existing interpretability methods often fail to do. We compare with baselines on simulated and real-world clinical data. WinIT achieves 2.47x better performance than FIT and other feature importance methods on real-world clinical MIMIC-mortality task. The code for this work is available at https://github.com/layer6ai-labs/WinIT.
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