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Automated 5-year Mortality Prediction using Deep Learning and Radiomics Features from Chest Computed Tomography

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 Added by Gustavo Carneiro
 Publication date 2016
and research's language is English




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We propose new methods for the prediction of 5-year mortality in elderly individuals using chest computed tomography (CT). The methods consist of a classifier that performs this prediction using a set of features extracted from the CT image and segmentation maps of multiple anatomic structures. We explore two approaches: 1) a unified framework based on deep learning, where features and classifier are automatically learned in a single optimisation process; and 2) a multi-stage framework based on the design and selection/extraction of hand-crafted radiomics features, followed by the classifier learning process. Experimental results, based on a dataset of 48 annotated chest CTs, show that the deep learning model produces a mean 5-year mortality prediction accuracy of 68.5%, while radiomics produces a mean accuracy that varies between 56% to 66% (depending on the feature selection/extraction method and classifier). The successful development of the proposed models has the potential to make a profound impact in preventive and personalised healthcare.



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Purpose: To develop high throughput multi-label annotators for body (chest, abdomen, and pelvis) Computed Tomography (CT) reports that can be applied across a variety of abnormalities, organs, and disease states. Approach: We used a dictionary approach to develop rule-based algorithms (RBA) for extraction of disease labels from radiology text reports. We targeted three organ systems (lungs/pleura, liver/gallbladder, kidneys/ureters) with four diseases per system based on their prevalence in our dataset. To expand the algorithms beyond pre-defined keywords, attention-guided recurrent neural networks (RNN) were trained using the RBA-extracted labels to classify reports as being positive for one or more diseases or normal for each organ system. Confounding effects on model performance were evaluated using random initialization or pre-trained embedding as well as different sizes of training datasets. Performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) against 2,158 manually obtained labels. Results: Our models extracted disease labels from 261,229 radiology reports of 112,501 unique subjects. Pre-trained models outperformed random initialization across all diseases. As the training dataset size was reduced, performance was robust except for a few diseases with relatively small number of cases. Pre-trained classification AUCs achieved > 0.95 for all five disease outcomes across all three organ systems. Conclusions: Our label-extracting pipeline was able to encompass a variety of cases and diseases by generalizing beyond strict rules with exceptional accuracy. This method can be easily adapted to enable automated labeling of hospital-scale medical data sets for training image-based disease classifiers.
Measuring airways in chest computed tomography (CT) scans is important for characterizing diseases such as cystic fibrosis, yet very time-consuming to perform manually. Machine learning algorithms offer an alternative, but need large sets of annotated scans for good performance. We investigate whether crowdsourcing can be used to gather airway annotations. We generate image slices at known locations of airways in 24 subjects and request the crowd workers to outline the airway lumen and airway wall. After combining multiple crowd workers, we compare the measurements to those made by the experts in the original scans. Similar to our preliminary study, a large portion of the annotations were excluded, possibly due to workers misunderstanding the instructions. After excluding such annotations, moderate to strong correlations with the expert can be observed, although these correlations are slightly lower than inter-expert correlations. Furthermore, the results across subjects in this study are quite variable. Although the crowd has potential in annotating airways, further development is needed for it to be robust enough for gathering annotations in practice. For reproducibility, data and code are available online: url{http://github.com/adriapr/crowdairway.git}.
Machine learning models for radiology benefit from large-scale data sets with high quality labels for abnormalities. We curated and analyzed a chest computed tomography (CT) data set of 36,316 volumes from 19,993 unique patients. This is the largest multiply-annotated volumetric medical imaging data set reported. To annotate this data set, we developed a rule-based method for automatically extracting abnormality labels from free-text radiology reports with an average F-score of 0.976 (min 0.941, max 1.0). We also developed a model for multi-organ, multi-disease classification of chest CT volumes that uses a deep convolutional neural network (CNN). This model reached a classification performance of AUROC greater than 0.90 for 18 abnormalities, with an average AUROC of 0.773 for all 83 abnormalities, demonstrating the feasibility of learning from unfiltered whole volume CT data. We show that training on more labels improves performance significantly: for a subset of 9 labels - nodule, opacity, atelectasis, pleural effusion, consolidation, mass, pericardial effusion, cardiomegaly, and pneumothorax - the models average AUROC increased by 10% when the number of training labels was increased from 9 to all 83. All code for volume preprocessing, automated label extraction, and the volume abnormality prediction model will be made publicly available. The 36,316 CT volumes and labels will also be made publicly available pending institutional approval.
Deep Learning-based Radiomics (DLR) has achieved great success on medical image analysis. In this study, we aim to explore the capability of DLR for survival prediction in NPC. We developed an end-to-end multi-modality DLR model using pretreatment PET/CT images to predict 5-year Progression-Free Survival (PFS) in advanced NPC. A total of 170 patients with pathological confirmed advanced NPC (TNM stage III or IVa) were enrolled in this study. A 3D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), with two branches to process PET and CT separately, was optimized to extract deep features from pretreatment multi-modality PET/CT images and use the derived features to predict the probability of 5-year PFS. Optionally, TNM stage, as a high-level clinical feature, can be integrated into our DLR model to further improve prognostic performance. For a comparison between CR and DLR, 1456 handcrafted features were extracted, and three top CR methods were selected as benchmarks from 54 combinations of 6 feature selection methods and 9 classification methods. Compared to the three CR methods, our multi-modality DLR models using both PET and CT, with or without TNM stage (named PCT or PC model), resulted in the highest prognostic performance. Furthermore, the multi-modality PCT model outperformed single-modality DLR models using only PET and TNM stage (PT model) or only CT and TNM stage (CT model). Our study identified potential radiomics-based prognostic model for survival prediction in advanced NPC, and suggests that DLR could serve as a tool for aiding in cancer management.
The COVID-19 pandemic is causing a major outbreak in more than 150 countries around the world, having a severe impact on the health and life of many people globally. One of the crucial step in fighting COVID-19 is the ability to detect the infected patients early enough, and put them under special care. Detecting this disease from radiography and radiology images is perhaps one of the fastest ways to diagnose the patients. Some of the early studies showed specific abnormalities in the chest radiograms of patients infected with COVID-19. Inspired by earlier works, we study the application of deep learning models to detect COVID-19 patients from their chest radiography images. We first prepare a dataset of 5,000 Chest X-rays from the publicly available datasets. Images exhibiting COVID-19 disease presence were identified by board-certified radiologist. Transfer learning on a subset of 2,000 radiograms was used to train four popular convolutional neural networks, including ResNet18, ResNet50, SqueezeNet, and DenseNet-121, to identify COVID-19 disease in the analyzed chest X-ray images. We evaluated these models on the remaining 3,000 images, and most of these networks achieved a sensitivity rate of 98% ($pm$ 3%), while having a specificity rate of around 90%. Besides sensitivity and specificity rates, we also present the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, precision-recall curve, average prediction, and confusion matrix of each model. We also used a technique to generate heatmaps of lung regions potentially infected by COVID-19 and show that the generated heatmaps contain most of the infected areas annotated by our board certified radiologist. While the achieved performance is very encouraging, further analysis is required on a larger set of COVID-19 images, to have a more reliable estimation of accuracy rates. The dataset, model implementations (in PyTorch), and evaluations, are all made publicly available for research community at https://github.com/shervinmin/DeepCovid.git
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