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Register a new userDemand Prediction and Placement Optimization for Electric Vehicle Charging Stations
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Added by
Arpita Biswas
Publication date
2016
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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Effective placement of charging stations plays a key role in Electric Vehicle (EV) adoption. In the placement problem, given a set of candidate sites, an optimal subset needs to be selected with respect to the concerns of both (a) the charging station service provider, such as the demand at the candidate sites and the budget for deployment, and (b) the EV user, such as charging station reachability and short waiting times at the station. This work addresses these concerns, making the following three novel contributions: (i) a supervised multi-view learning framework using Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) for demand prediction at candidate sites, using multiple datasets such as points of interest information, traffic density, and the historical usage at existing charging stations; (ii) a mixed-packing-and- covering optimization framework that models competing concerns of the service provider and EV users; (iii) an iterative heuristic to solve these problems by alternately invoking knapsack and set cover algorithms. The performance of the demand prediction model and the placement optimization heuristic are evaluated using real world data.
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Even with state-of-the-art defense mechanisms, cyberattacks in the electric power distribution sector are commonplace. Particularly alarming are load-altering (demand-side) cyberattacks launched through high-wattage assets, which are not continuously monitored by electric power utilities. Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (EVCSs) are among such high-wattage assets and, therefore, cyber insurance can be an effective mechanism to protect EVCSs from economic losses caused by cyberattacks. This paper presents a data-driven cyber insurance design model for public EVCSs. Under some mildly restrictive assumptions, we derive an optimal cyber insurance premium. Then, we robustify this optimal premium against uncertainty in data and investigate the risk of insuring the EVCSs using Conditional Value-at-Risk. A case study with data from EVCSs in Manhattan, New York illustrates our results.
Electric vehicles (EVs) have been growing rapidly in popularity in recent years and have become a future trend. It is an important aspect of user experience to know the Remaining Charging Time (RCT) of an EV with confidence. However, it is difficult to find an algorithm that accurately estimates the RCT for vehicles in the current EV market. The maximum RCT estimation error of the Tesla Model X can be as high as 60 minutes from a 10 % to 99 % state-of-charge (SOC) while charging at direct current (DC). A highly accurate RCT estimation algorithm for electric vehicles is in high demand and will continue to be as EVs become more popular. There are currently two challenges to arriving at an accurate RCT estimate. First, most commercial chargers cannot provide requested charging currents during a constant current (CC) stage. Second, it is hard to predict the charging current profile in a constant voltage (CV) stage. To address the first issue, this study proposes an RCT algorithm that updates the charging accuracy online in the CC stage by considering the confidence interval between the historical charging accuracy and real-time charging accuracy data. To solve the second issue, this study proposes a battery resistance prediction model to predict charging current profiles in the CV stage, using a Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural network (NN). The test results demonstrate that the RCT algorithm proposed in this study achieves an error rate improvement of 73.6 % and 84.4 % over the traditional method in the CC and CV stages, respectively.
Based on the electric vehicle (EV) arrival times and the duration of EV connection to the charging station, we identify charging patterns and derive groups of charging stations with similar charging patterns applying two approaches. The ruled based approach derives the charging patterns by specifying a set of time intervals and a threshold value. In the second approach, we combine the modified l-p norm (as a matrix dissimilarity measure) with hierarchical clustering and apply them to automatically identify charging patterns and groups of charging stations associated with such patterns. A dataset collected in a large network of public charging stations is used to test both approaches. Using both methods, we derived charging patterns. The first, rule-based approach, performed well at deriving predefined patterns and the latter, hierarchical clustering, showed the capability of delivering unexpected charging patterns.
We describe the architecture and algorithms of the Adaptive Charging Network (ACN), which was first deployed on the Caltech campus in early 2016 and is currently operating at over 100 other sites in the United States. The architecture enables real-time monitoring and control and supports electric vehicle (EV) charging at scale. The ACN adopts a flexible Adaptive Scheduling Algorithm based on convex optimization and model predictive control and allows for significant over-subscription of electrical infrastructure. We describe some of the practical challenges in real-world charging systems, including unbalanced three-phase infrastructure, non-ideal battery charging behavior, and quantized control signals. We demonstrate how the Adaptive Scheduling Algorithm handles these challenges, and compare its performance against baseline algorithms from the deadline scheduling literature using real workloads recorded from the Caltech ACN and accurate system models. We find that in these realistic settings, our scheduling algorithm can improve operator profit by 3.4 times over uncontrolled charging and consistently outperforms baseline algorithms when delivering energy in highly congested systems.
The number of electric vehicles (EVs) is expected to increase. As a consequence, more EVs will need charging, potentially causing not only congestion at charging stations, but also in the distribution grid. Our goal is to illustrate how this gives rise to resource allocation and performance problems that are of interest to the Sigmetrics community.
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