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Nonlinear filtering with correlated Levy noise characterized by copulas

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 Added by Pani W. Fernando
 Publication date 2015
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and research's language is English




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The objective in stochastic filtering is to reconstruct information about an unobserved (random) process, called the signal process, given the current available observations of a certain noisy transformation of that process. Usually X and Y are modeled by stochastic differential equations driven by a Brownian motion or a jump (or Levy) process. We are interested in the situation where both the state process X and the observation process Y are perturbed by coupled Levy processes. More precisely, L=(L_1,L_2) is a 2--dimensional Levy process in which the structure of dependence is described by a Levy copula. We derive the associated Zakai equation for the density process and establish sufficient conditions depending on the copula and $L$ for the solvability of the corresponding solution to the Zakai equation. In particular, we give conditions of existence and uniqueness of the density process, if one is interested to estimate quantities like P( X(t)>a), where a is a threshold.



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135 - D. Crisan , J. Diehl , P. K. Friz 2012
In the late seventies, Clark [In Communication Systems and Random Process Theory (Proc. 2nd NATO Advanced Study Inst., Darlington, 1977) (1978) 721-734, Sijthoff & Noordhoff] pointed out that it would be natural for $pi_t$, the solution of the stochastic filtering problem, to depend continuously on the observed data $Y={Y_s,sin[0,t]}$. Indeed, if the signal and the observation noise are independent one can show that, for any suitably chosen test function $f$, there exists a continuous map $theta^f_t$, defined on the space of continuous paths $C([0,t],mathbb{R}^d)$ endowed with the uniform convergence topology such that $pi_t(f)=theta^f_t(Y)$, almost surely; see, for example, Clark [In Communication Systems and Random Process Theory (Proc. 2nd NATO Advanced Study Inst., Darlington, 1977) (1978) 721-734, Sijthoff & Noordhoff], Clark and Crisan [Probab. Theory Related Fields 133 (2005) 43-56], Davis [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 54 (1980) 125-139], Davis [Teor. Veroyatn. Primen. 27 (1982) 160-167], Kushner [Stochastics 3 (1979) 75-83]. As shown by Davis and Spathopoulos [SIAM J. Control Optim. 25 (1987) 260-278], Davis [In Stochastic Systems: The Mathematics of Filtering and Identification and Applications, Proc. NATO Adv. Study Inst. Les Arcs, Savoie, France 1980 505-528], [In The Oxford Handbook of Nonlinear Filtering (2011) 403-424 Oxford Univ. Press], this type of robust representation is also possible when the signal and the observation noise are correlated, provided the observation process is scalar. For a general correlated noise and multidimensional observations such a representation does not exist. By using the theory of rough paths we provide a solution to this deficiency: the observation process $Y$ is lifted to the process $mathbf{Y}$ that consists of $Y$ and its corresponding L{e}vy area process, and we show that there exists a continuous map $theta_t^f$, defined on a suitably chosen space of H{o}lder continuous paths such that $pi_t(f)=theta_t^f(mathbf{Y})$, almost surely.
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