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Predicting Results of the Research Excellence Framework using Departmental h-Index -- Revisited

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 Added by Olesya Mryglod
 Publication date 2015
and research's language is English




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We revisit our recent study [Predicting results of the Research Excellence Framework using departmental h-index, Scientometrics, 2014, 1-16; arXiv:1411.1996] in which we attempted to predict outcomes of the UKs Research Excellence Framework (REF~2014) using the so-called departmental $h$-index. Here we report that our predictions failed to anticipate with any accuracy either overall REF outcomes or movements of individual institutions in the rankings relative to their positions in the previous Research Assessment Exercise (RAE~2008).



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The characteristics of the $h$-index in the field of condensed matter physics are studied using high-quality data from ResearcherID. The results are examined in terms of theoretical descriptions of the $h$-index overall dependence on a researchers total number of published papers, and total number of citations. In particular, the models by Hirsch, Egghe and Rousseau, as well as by Glanzel and Schubert are examined. Special emphasis is placed on the deviations from such statistical descriptions, and it is argued that the deviation of a particular researchers $h$ value from the Egghe-Rouseau models prediction can be used as a supplementary measure of impact. A corresponding analysis with similar results is performed using the multi-author $h_m$-index.
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