No Arabic abstract
The electronic healthcare databases are starting to become more readily available and are thought to have excellent potential for generating adverse drug reaction signals. The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database is an electronic healthcare database containing medical information on over 11 million patients that has excellent potential for detecting ADRs. In this paper we apply four existing electronic healthcare database signal detecting algorithms (MUTARA, HUNT, Temporal Pattern Discovery and modified ROR) on the THIN database for a selection of drugs from six chosen drug families. This is the first comparison of ADR signalling algorithms that includes MUTARA and HUNT and enabled us to set a benchmark for the adverse drug reaction signalling ability of the THIN database. The drugs were selectively chosen to enable a comparison with previous work and for variety. It was found that no algorithm was generally superior and the algorithms natural thresholds act at variable stringencies. Furthermore, none of the algorithms perform well at detecting rare ADRs.
Side effects of prescribed medications are a common occurrence. Electronic healthcare databases present the opportunity to identify new side effects efficiently but currently the methods are limited due to confounding (i.e. when an association between two variables is identified due to them both being associated to a third variable). In this paper we propose a proof of concept method that learns common associations and uses this knowledge to automatically refine side effect signals (i.e. exposure-outcome associations) by removing instances of the exposure-outcome associations that are caused by confounding. This leaves the signal instances that are most likely to correspond to true side effect occurrences. We then calculate a novel measure termed the confounding-adjusted risk value, a more accurate absolute risk value of a patient experiencing the outcome within 60 days of the exposure. Tentative results suggest that the method works. For the four signals (i.e. exposure-outcome associations) investigated we are able to correctly filter the majority of exposure-outcome instances that were unlikely to correspond to true side effects. The method is likely to improve when tuning the association rule mining parameters for specific health outcomes. This paper shows that it may be possible to filter signals at a patient level based on association rules learned from considering patients medical histories. However, additional work is required to develop a way to automate the tuning of the methods parameters.
Background: Children are frequently prescribed medication off-label, meaning there has not been sufficient testing of the medication to determine its safety or effectiveness. The main reason this safety knowledge is lacking is due to ethical restrictions that prevent children from being included in the majority of clinical trials. Objective: The objective of this paper is to investigate whether an ensemble of simple study designs can be implemented to signal acutely occurring side effects effectively within the paediatric population by using historical longitudinal data. The majority of pharmacovigilance techniques are unsupervised, but this research presents a supervised framework. Methods: Multiple measures of association are calculated for each drug and medical event pair and these are used as features that are fed into a classiffier to determine the likelihood of the drug and medical event pair corresponding to an adverse drug reaction. The classiffier is trained using known adverse drug reactions or known non-adverse drug reaction relationships. Results: The novel ensemble framework obtained a false positive rate of 0:149, a sensitivity of 0:547 and a specificity of 0:851 when implemented on a reference set of drug and medical event pairs. The novel framework consistently outperformed each individual simple study design. Conclusion: This research shows that it is possible to exploit the mechanism of causality and presents a framework for signalling adverse drug reactions effectively.
In previous work, a novel supervised framework implementing a binary classifier was presented that obtained excellent results for side effect discovery. Interestingly, unique side effects were identified when different binary classifiers were used within the framework, prompting the investigation of applying a multiple classifier system. In this paper we investigate tuning a side effect multiple classifying system using genetic algorithms. The results of this research show that the novel framework implementing a multiple classifying system trained using genetic algorithms can obtain a higher partial area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than implementing a single classifier. Furthermore, the framework is able to detect side effects efficiently and obtains a low false positive rate.
Longitudinal observational databases have become a recent interest in the post marketing drug surveillance community due to their ability of presenting a new perspective for detecting negative side effects. Algorithms mining longitudinal observation databases are not restricted by many of the limitations associated with the more conventional methods that have been developed for spontaneous reporting system databases. In this paper we investigate the robustness of four recently developed algorithms that mine longitudinal observational databases by applying them to The Health Improvement Network (THIN) for six drugs with well document known negative side effects. Our results show that none of the existing algorithms was able to consistently identify known adverse drug reactions above events related to the cause of the drug and no algorithm was superior.
Cancer is a primary cause of human death, but discovering drugs and tailoring cancer therapies are expensive and time-consuming. We seek to facilitate the discovery of new drugs and treatment strategies for cancer using variational autoencoders (VAEs) and multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) to predict anti-cancer drug responses. Our model takes as input gene expression data of cancer cell lines and anti-cancer drug molecular data and encodes these data with our {sc {GeneVae}} model, which is an ordinary VAE model, and a rectified junction tree variational autoencoder ({sc JTVae}) model, respectively. A multi-layer perceptron processes these encoded features to produce a final prediction. Our tests show our system attains a high average coefficient of determination ($R^{2} = 0.83$) in predicting drug responses for breast cancer cell lines and an average $R^{2} = 0.845$ for pan-cancer cell lines. Additionally, we show that our model can generates effective drug compounds not previously used for specific cancer cell lines.