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Division of the Energy Market into Zones in Variable Weather Conditions using Locational Marginal Prices

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 Publication date 2013
and research's language is English




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Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones borders. One of the approaches to identify zones is based on clustering of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP). The purpose of the paper is twofold: (i) we extend the LMP methodology by taking into account variable weather conditions and (ii) we point out some weaknesses of the method and suggest their potential solutions. The offered extension comprises simulations based on the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) algorithm and twofold clustering method. First, LMP are calculated by OPF for each of scenario representing different weather conditions. Second, hierarchical clustering based on Wards criterion is used on each realization of the prices separately. Then, another clustering method, i.e. consensus clustering, is used to aggregate the results from all simulations and to find the global division into zones. The offered method of aggregation is not limited only to LMP methodology and is universal.



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We compare two competing methodologies of market zones identification under the criterion of social welfare maximization: (i) consensus clustering of Locational Marginal Prices over different wind scenarios and (ii) congestion contribution identification with congested lines identified across variable wind generation outputs. We test the division of market into zones based on each of the two methodologies using a welfare criterion, i.e., comparing the cost of supplying energy on uniform market (including readjustments made on a balancing market to overcome the congestion) with cost on k-zone market. A division which maximizes the welfare is considered as the optimum.
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